Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 | DAL | -7.0 | 43.5 | -345 |
| 404 | KAN | +7.0 | +305 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Ratings | Dallas 78% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games | Dallas 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL -7.5 | Power Ratings | Dallas wins by 11.1 | |
| DAL -7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Dallas 56% odds to cover | |
| DAL -7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Dallas wins by 8.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL -340 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| KAN +300 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.1 | 18.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.344 | 0.289 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.6 | -8.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 392.4 | 303.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.065% | 46.148% | |
| SOS PR | 28.1 | 23.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.6 | 26.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.272 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 317.6 | 388.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.7 | 41.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5 | 4-12 | |
| vs Division | 5-2 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 10-4 | 3-9 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 7-2 | 1-7 | |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-8-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-3-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 4-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||