Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | LP Field, Nashville, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 | IND | -3.0 | 44.0 | -186 |
| 426 | TEN | +3.0 | +168 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | Power Ratings | Indianapolis 83% odds to win | |
| Indianapolis | Similar Games | Indianapolis 68% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND -3.0 | Power Ratings | Indianapolis wins by 14.0 | |
| IND -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Indianapolis 55% odds to cover | |
| IND -3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Indianapolis wins by 5.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.0 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 44.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND -193 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 17% different from model | |
| IND -193 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.9 | 22.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.417 | 0.358 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.7 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 363.6 | 351.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.043% | 47.585% | |
| SOS PR | 28.0 | 24.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.2 | 25.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.273 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 338.1 | 365.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.0 | 51.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-2 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 6-0 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 12-2 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 9-1 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-6-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4-1 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 7-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||