Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 | IND | -1.0 | 44.0 | -105 |
| 414 | BAL | +1.0 | -105 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | Power Ratings | Indianapolis 60% odds to win | |
| Indianapolis | Similar Games | Indianapolis 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND -1.0 | Power Ratings | Indianapolis wins by 2.9 | |
| IND -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Indianapolis 58% odds to cover | |
| IND -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Indianapolis wins by 2.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 44.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND -117 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| IND -117 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.9 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.417 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.7 | +7.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 363.6 | 342.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.043% | 48.843% | |
| SOS PR | 28.0 | 27.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.2 | 16.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.273 | 0.262 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 338.1 | 293.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.0 | 65.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-2 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 6-0 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 12-2 | 8-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 9-1 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 7-2 | 4-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-6-1 | 9-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4-1 | 6-7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 5-4-1 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 7-2-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||