Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | University of Phoenix Stadium, Phoenix, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 | IND | +3.0 | 49.0 | +144 |
| 430 | ARI | -3.0 | -159 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | Power Ratings | Arizona 72% odds to win | |
| Indianapolis | Similar Games | Indianapolis 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI -2.5 | Power Ratings | Arizona wins by 7.9 | |
| IND +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Indianapolis 59% odds to cover | |
| IND +2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Indianapolis loses by 2.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 48.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI -155 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 11% different from model | |
| IND +140 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | ARI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.9 | 24.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.417 | 0.402 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.7 | +1.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 363.6 | 355.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.043% | 49.344% | |
| SOS PR | 28.0 | 25.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | ARI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.2 | 23.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.273 | 0.354 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 338.1 | 358.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.0 | 53.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | ARI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-2 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 6-0 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 12-2 | 9-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 9-1 | 5-4 | |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | ARI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-6-1 | 9-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4-1 | 7-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-1 | 5-4-0 | |
| Away | 7-2-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||