Game Information
| Week | Week 17 |
| Date | Sunday, January 3, 2010 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | IND | +9.0 | 32.5 | +307 |
| 302 | BUF | -9.0 | -347 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | Power Ratings | Indianapolis 66% odds to win | |
| Buffalo | Similar Games | Buffalo 50% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +9.0 | Power Ratings | Indianapolis wins by 5.3 | |
| IND +9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Indianapolis 57% odds to cover | |
| IND +9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Indianapolis wins by 0.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 33.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 33.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +330 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 43% different from model | |
| IND +330 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 26% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.9 | 16.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.417 | 0.283 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.7 | -4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 363.6 | 273.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.043% | 46.375% | |
| SOS PR | 28.0 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.2 | 20.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.273 | 0.300 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 338.1 | 340.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.0 | 53.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-2 | 6-10 | |
| vs Division | 6-0 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 12-2 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 9-1 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-6-1 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4-1 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-1 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 7-2-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||