Game Information
| Week | Week 16 |
| Date | Friday, December 25, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | LP Field, Nashville, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | SDG | +3.0 | 47.5 | +124 |
| 102 | TEN | -3.0 | -136 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | Power Ratings | San Diego 55% odds to win | |
| Tennessee | Similar Games | Tennessee 54% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDG +3.0 | Power Ratings | San Diego wins by 1.3 | |
| SDG +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | San Diego 55% odds to cover | |
| SDG +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | San Diego loses by 1.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 47.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 47.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDG +117 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 9% different from model | |
| SDG +117 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SDG | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.5 | 22.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.453 | 0.358 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.7 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 359.1 | 351.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.8% | 47.6% | |
| SOS PR | 25.4 | 24.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SDG | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.8 | 25.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.320 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 323.1 | 365.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 38.6 | 51.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SDG | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-3 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 7-1 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SDG | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-8-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||