Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 | SDG | -5.5 | 44.0 | -238 |
| 414 | KAN | +5.5 | +212 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | Power Ratings | San Diego 74% odds to win | |
| San Diego | Similar Games | San Diego 54% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDG -5.0 | Power Ratings | San Diego wins by 8.7 | |
| KAN +5.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Kansas City 53% odds to cover | |
| KAN +5.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Kansas City loses by 2.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDG -235 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| KAN +209 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SDG | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.5 | 18.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.453 | 0.289 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.7 | -8.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 359.1 | 303.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.802% | 46.148% | |
| SOS PR | 25.4 | 23.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SDG | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.8 | 26.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.320 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 323.1 | 388.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 38.6 | 41.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SDG | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-3 | 4-12 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 3-9 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 6-3 | 1-7 | |
| Away | 7-1 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SDG | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-8-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-1 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||