Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Invesco Field, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431 | SDG | -6.5 | 41.5 | -270 |
| 432 | DEN | +6.5 | +238 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | Power Ratings | San Diego 56% odds to win | |
| San Diego | Similar Games | San Diego 57% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +6.5 | Power Ratings | Denver loses by 1.5 | |
| SDG -6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | San Diego 51% odds to cover | |
| DEN +6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Denver loses by 4.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 41.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go under 41.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +248 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 16% different from model | |
| DEN +248 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SDG | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.5 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.453 | 0.316 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.7 | +0.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 359.1 | 341.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.802% | 49.821% | |
| SOS PR | 25.4 | 23.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SDG | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.8 | 20.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.320 | 0.322 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 323.1 | 315.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 38.6 | 50.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SDG | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-3 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 7-1 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SDG | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-1 | 9-7-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-8-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||