Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | LP Field, Nashville, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 | ARI | +1.0 | 45.0 | +173 |
| 216 | TEN | -1.0 | -191 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | Power Ratings | Tennessee 55% odds to win | |
| Tennessee | Similar Games | Tennessee 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN -1.0 | Power Ratings | Tennessee wins by 1.3 | |
| TEN -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Tennessee 57% odds to cover | |
| TEN -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Tennessee wins by 4.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 44.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI +172 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| ARI +172 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARI | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.4 | 22.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.402 | 0.358 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.4 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 355.6 | 351.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.3% | 47.6% | |
| SOS PR | 25.5 | 24.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARI | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.1 | 25.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.354 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 358.6 | 365.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.6 | 51.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARI | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 9-5 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 5-4 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 6-3 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARI | adv | TEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-9-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-7-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||