Tampa Bay at Minnesota

  Sunday Sep 18, 2011 - 1:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN | Odds: Minnesota by 1, Total Points: 41 | Team Pages: TAM | MIN

Our NFL math model predictions are free for Week 1. For full season access, sign up or upgrade now.

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Minnesota Tampa Bay 36.6%
Minnesota 63.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIN -2.5 Tampa Bay 49.0%
Minnesota 51.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 41.5 Over 48.0%
Under 52.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIN -130 Tampa Bay -9.2%
Minnesota +6.8%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied
Tampa Bay 20.1 -- 19.5
Minnesota 20.9 -- 22.0

Offensive Stat Comparison (Last Season)

TAM MIN
Yards/Play 5.6 5.1
Points/Play 0.357 0.286
Rush Play % 45.13% 44.91%
Pass Play % 54.87% 55.09%
Completion % 61.94% 60.40%
3D Conv % 42.18% 34.63%
RZ Scoring % 52.27% 43.48%

Defensive Stat Comparison (Last Season)

TAM MIN
Opp Yards/Play 5.4 5.1
Opp Points/Play 0.321 0.356
Opp Completion % 58.93% 62.95%
Opp 3D Conv % 43.19% 40.85%
Opp RZ Scoring % 54.17% 56.52%