Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 | TAM | +12.0 | 46.0 | +470 |
| 220 | ATL | -12.0 | -600 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Ratings | Atlanta 72% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games | Atlanta 89% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAM +12.0 | Power Ratings | Tampa Bay loses by 7.8 | |
| ATL -12.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Atlanta 55% odds to cover | |
| ATL -12.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Atlanta wins by 12.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 46.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAM +470 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
| ATL -600 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TAM | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 15.2 | 22.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.254 | 0.346 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.8 | +2.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 287.5 | 340.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.239% | 49.620% | |
| SOS PR | 28.5 | 28.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TAM | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.0 | 20.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 365.6 | 348.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.3 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.5 | 41.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TAM | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-13 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 3-9 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 1-7 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TAM | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10-0 | 11-5-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 1-7-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||