Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 | TAM | +15.5 | 41.5 | +750 |
| 408 | PHI | -15.5 | -1010 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | Power Ratings | Philadelphia 93% odds to win | |
| Philadelphia | Similar Games | Philadelphia 90% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI -15.5 | Power Ratings | Philadelphia wins by 22.8 | |
| TAM +15.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Tampa Bay 54% odds to cover | |
| TAM +15.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Tampa Bay loses by 12.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 41.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI -1010 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TAM | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 15.2 | 26.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.254 | 0.430 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.8 | +4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 287.5 | 356.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.239% | 46.302% | |
| SOS PR | 28.5 | 27.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TAM | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.0 | 21.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.335 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 365.6 | 327.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.3 | +0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.5 | 56.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TAM | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-13 | 11-5 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 4-3 | |
| vs Conference | 3-9 | 9-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 1-7 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TAM | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10-0 | 9-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-7-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||