Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 | CLE | +13.5 | 38.5 | +620 |
| 408 | BAL | -13.5 | -750 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | Power Ratings | Baltimore 86% odds to win | |
| Baltimore | Similar Games | Baltimore 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -13.5 | Power Ratings | Baltimore wins by 16.4 | |
| CLE +13.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Cleveland 62% odds to cover | |
| CLE +13.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Cleveland loses by 9.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 38.5 | Similar Games | 60% odds to go over 38.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| CLE +620 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CLE | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 15.3 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.252 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -8.1 | +7.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 260.2 | 342.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.543% | 48.843% | |
| SOS PR | 22.9 | 27.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CLE | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.4 | 16.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.350 | 0.262 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 389.3 | 293.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.4 | 65.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 8-6 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-5 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6-0 | 9-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 9-3-0 | 6-7-1 | |
| Streak | W7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||