Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 | CLE | +6.0 | 41.5 | +214 |
| 412 | BUF | -6.0 | -240 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Power Ratings | Buffalo 58% odds to win | |
| Buffalo | Similar Games | Buffalo 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE +6.0 | Power Ratings | Cleveland loses by 2.3 | |
| BUF -6.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 53% odds to cover | |
| CLE +6.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Cleveland loses by 5.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 41.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE +238 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model | |
| CLE +238 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CLE | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 15.3 | 16.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.252 | 0.283 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -8.1 | -4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 260.2 | 273.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.543% | 46.375% | |
| SOS PR | 22.9 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CLE | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.4 | 20.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.350 | 0.300 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 389.3 | 340.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.4 | 53.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11 | 6-10 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | W4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-5 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 3-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6-0 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-3-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||