| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 | CLE | +12.0 | 39.5 | +480 |
| 208 | CIN | -12.0 | -610 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 88% odds to win | |
| Cincinnati | Similar Games | Cincinnati 88% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -13.0 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati wins by 17.4 | |
| CLE +13.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Cleveland 62% odds to cover | |
| CLE +13.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Cleveland loses by 10.9 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 39.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -650 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| CIN -650 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
| Stat | CLE | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 15.3 | 18.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.252 | 0.298 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -8.1 | +0.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 260.2 | 307.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 4.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.543% | 51.450% | |
| SOS PR | 22.9 | 25.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | CLE | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.4 | 18.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.350 | 0.304 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 389.3 | 304.4 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.4 | 54.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | CLE | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 7-6 | |
| Streak | W4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 3-5 | 6-3 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | CLE | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-3-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 3-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||