Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 | DEN | +4.5 | 42.5 | +194 |
| 208 | BAL | -4.5 | -220 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Ratings | Denver 68% odds to win | |
| Baltimore | Similar Games | Baltimore 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +4.0 | Power Ratings | Denver wins by 6.0 | |
| DEN +4.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Denver 56% odds to cover | |
| DEN +4.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Denver loses by 3.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 42.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 42.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +194 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 34% different from model | |
| DEN +194 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.1 | +7.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 341.4 | 342.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.8% | 48.8% | |
| SOS PR | 23.8 | 27.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 16.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.322 | 0.262 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 315.0 | 293.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.0 | 65.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 8-6 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7-0 | 9-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6-0 | 6-7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||