Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | McAfee Coliseum, Oakland, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427 | DEN | -1.0 | 38.5 | -126 |
| 428 | OAK | +1.0 | +116 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Ratings | Denver 78% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games | Denver 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -1.0 | Power Ratings | Denver wins by 11.1 | |
| OAK +1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Oakland 55% odds to cover | |
| DEN -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Denver wins by 2.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go under 38.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -122 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 24% different from model | |
| OAK +112 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | OAK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 12.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.209 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.1 | -11.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 341.4 | 266.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.821% | 47.904% | |
| SOS PR | 23.8 | 25.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | OAK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 23.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.322 | 0.370 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 315.0 | 361.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.0 | 53.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | OAK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 5-11 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 4-8 | |
| Streak | L4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 2-6 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | OAK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7-0 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||