Denver at New England: Point Spread Line Movement

Sunday Oct 7, 2012 4:25 pm - Foxborough, MA
Odds: New England by 6, Total Points: 50.5

NE -6.0 Open -7.0 High -7.5
Last -6.5 Low -6.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2007 NFL season there have been 177 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like New England won the game 113 times (63.8%)
  • The team like Denver won the game 64 times (36.2%)
  • The team like Denver did better against the spread, going 94-81-2 (53.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2009 NFL season there have been 95 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Denver did better against the spread, going 50-43-2 (53.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -5.5 -6.0 --
Open -7.0 -7.0 --
History
10/07 04:22 PM -5.5 -- --
10/07 04:13 PM -- -6.0 --
10/07 01:42 PM -5.5 -- --
10/07 12:52 PM -5.5 -- --
10/07 12:14 PM -- -6.0 --
10/07 10:42 AM -6.5 -- --
10/07 09:02 AM -6.5 -- --
10/07 05:02 AM -6.5 -- --
10/07 01:23 AM -- -6.5 --
10/06 10:22 PM -6.5 -- --
10/06 02:42 PM -6.5 -- --
10/06 01:24 PM -- -6.0 --
10/06 12:12 PM -6.5 -- --
10/06 08:22 AM -6.5 -- --
10/05 11:42 PM -6.5 -- --
10/05 01:22 PM -6.5 -- --
10/05 12:52 PM -6.5 -- --
10/04 01:24 PM -- -6.5 --
10/04 08:02 AM -6.5 -- --
10/03 10:42 PM -6.5 -- --
10/02 01:52 PM -6.5 -- --
10/02 08:12 AM -7.0 -- --
10/01 07:32 PM -7.0 -- --
10/01 03:04 PM -- -7.0 --
10/01 07:13 AM -- -7.0 --
09/30 11:22 PM -7.0 -- --
09/30 08:32 PM -7.0 -- --