| Week | Week 16 |
| Date | Sunday, December 27, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | DEN | +7.0 | 43.0 | +260 |
| 122 | PHI | -7.0 | -300 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | Power Ratings | Philadelphia 76% odds to win | |
| Philadelphia | Similar Games | Philadelphia 78% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI -7.0 | Power Ratings | Philadelphia wins by 9.6 | |
| DEN +7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Denver 51% odds to cover | |
| PHI -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Philadelphia wins by 9.8 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 42.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI -285 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| PHI -285 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
| Stat | DEN | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 26.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.430 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.1 | +4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 341.4 | 356.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.821% | 46.302% | |
| SOS PR | 23.8 | 27.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | DEN | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 21.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.322 | 0.335 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 315.0 | 327.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.0 | 56.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | DEN | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 11-5 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 4-3 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 9-4 | |
| Streak | L4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | DEN | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7-0 | 9-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||