| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Sunday, December 6, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 | DEN | -6.0 | 39.0 | -234 |
| 338 | KAN | +6.0 | +208 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Ratings | Denver 57% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games | Denver 71% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAN +6.0 | Power Ratings | Kansas City loses by 2.2 | |
| DEN -6.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Denver 63% odds to cover | |
| DEN -6.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Denver wins by 7.0 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 39.0 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAN +238 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
| Stat | DEN | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 18.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.289 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.1 | -8.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 341.4 | 303.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.821% | 46.148% | |
| SOS PR | 23.8 | 23.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | DEN | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 26.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.322 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 315.0 | 388.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.0 | 41.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | DEN | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 4-12 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 3-9 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 1-7 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | DEN | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||