Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 | BUF | +9.0 | 41.5 | +322 |
| 410 | JAC | -9.0 | -372 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | Power Ratings | Jacksonville 63% odds to win | |
| Jacksonville | Similar Games | Jacksonville 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +9.0 | Power Ratings | Buffalo loses by 4.0 | |
| JAC -9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Jacksonville 54% odds to cover | |
| JAC -9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Jacksonville wins by 11.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 42.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 42.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +337 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 14% different from model | |
| JAC -387 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BUF | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.1 | 18.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.283 | 0.287 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.2 | -5.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 273.9 | 336.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.375% | 50.043% | |
| SOS PR | 27.0 | 25.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BUF | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.4 | 23.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 340.6 | 352.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.4 | 32.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BUF | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-4 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BUF | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 5-11-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||