| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Power Ratings | Buffalo 78% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games | Miami 61% odds to win |
| Buffalo | adv | Miami | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10 | 7-9 | Season | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 4-2 | vs Division | |
| vs Conference | 4-8 | 5-7 | vs Conference | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | Streak | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | Last 5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | Last 10 | |
| Home | 3-4 | 4-4 | Home | |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-5 | Away |
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Opp Rank | Score | Result | MOV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14 | Away | New England | 12 | 24-25 | L | -1.0 |
| 09/20 | Home | Tampa Bay | 22 | 33-20 | W | +13.0 |
| 09/27 | Home | New Orleans | 1 | 7-27 | L | -20.0 |
| 10/04 | Away | Miami | 18 | 10-38 | L | -28.0 |
| 10/11 | Home | Cleveland | 23 | 3-6 | L | -3.0 |
| 10/18 | Away | NY Jets | 2 | 16-13 | W | +3.0 |
| 10/25 | Away | Carolina | 3 | 20-9 | W | +11.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Houston | 13 | 10-31 | L | -21.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Tennessee | 14 | 17-41 | L | -24.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Jacksonville | 25 | 15-18 | L | -3.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Miami | 18 | 31-14 | W | +17.0 |
| 12/03 | Neutral | NY Jets | 2 | 13-19 | L | -6.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Kansas City | 28 | 16-10 | W | +6.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | New England | 12 | 10-17 | L | -7.0 |
| 12/27 | Away | Atlanta | 7 | 3-31 | L | -28.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Indianapolis | 5 | 30-7 | W | +23.0 |
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Opp Rank | Score | Result | MOV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/13 | Away | Atlanta | 7 | 7-19 | L | -12.0 |
| 09/21 | Home | Indianapolis | 5 | 23-27 | L | -4.0 |
| 09/27 | Away | San Diego | 4 | 13-23 | L | -10.0 |
| 10/04 | Home | Buffalo | 17 | 38-10 | W | +28.0 |
| 10/12 | Home | NY Jets | 2 | 31-27 | W | +4.0 |
| 10/25 | Home | New Orleans | 1 | 34-46 | L | -12.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | NY Jets | 2 | 30-25 | W | +5.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | New England | 12 | 17-27 | L | -10.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Tampa Bay | 22 | 25-23 | W | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Carolina | 3 | 24-17 | W | +7.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Buffalo | 17 | 14-31 | L | -17.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | New England | 12 | 22-21 | W | +1.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Jacksonville | 25 | 14-10 | W | +4.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Tennessee | 14 | 24-27 | L | -3.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Houston | 13 | 20-27 | L | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Pittsburgh | 15 | 24-30 | L | -6.0 |
| Model | BUF | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Similar Games | 18.8 | 21.6 |


