Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Sunday, December 13, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | BUF | -1.0 | 38.0 | -141 |
| 112 | KAN | +1.0 | +129 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Power Ratings | Buffalo 59% odds to win | |
| Buffalo | Similar Games | Buffalo 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF -1.0 | Power Ratings | Buffalo wins by 2.7 | |
| BUF -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 53% odds to cover | |
| BUF -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Buffalo wins by 2.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 38.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF -132 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| KAN +120 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BUF | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.1 | 18.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.283 | 0.289 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.2 | -8.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 273.9 | 303.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.375% | 46.148% | |
| SOS PR | 27.0 | 23.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BUF | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.4 | 26.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 340.6 | 388.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.4 | 41.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BUF | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10 | 4-12 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8 | 3-9 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 3-4 | 1-7 | |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BUF | adv | KAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||