Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 11, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 | CIN | +9.0 | 42.0 | +382 |
| 414 | BAL | -9.0 | -442 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | Power Ratings | Baltimore 59% odds to win | |
| Baltimore | Similar Games | Baltimore 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN +9.0 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati loses by 2.7 | |
| CIN +9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Cincinnati 52% odds to cover | |
| CIN +9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Cincinnati loses by 6.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 42.5 | Similar Games | 61% odds to go under 42.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN +380 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 20% different from model | |
| CIN +380 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 15% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CIN | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 18.8 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.298 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.2 | +7.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 307.5 | 342.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.450% | 48.843% | |
| SOS PR | 25.9 | 27.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CIN | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.5 | 16.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.304 | 0.262 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 304.4 | 293.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 54.0 | 65.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CIN | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 6-0 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 7-6 | 8-6 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CIN | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-10-0 | 9-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-8-0 | 6-7-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 3-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||