Game Information
| Week | Week 15 |
| Date | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 | CHI | +10.5 | 39.5 | +390 |
| 318 | BAL | -10.5 | -450 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | Power Ratings | Baltimore 76% odds to win | |
| Baltimore | Similar Games | Baltimore 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +10.5 | Power Ratings | Chicago loses by 9.7 | |
| BAL -10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Baltimore 51% odds to cover | |
| BAL -10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Baltimore wins by 12.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go under 39.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +445 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| CHI +445 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CHI | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.337 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | +7.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 310.3 | 342.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.804% | 48.843% | |
| SOS PR | 24.6 | 27.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CHI | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.4 | 16.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.363 | 0.262 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 338.5 | 293.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.2 | 65.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CHI | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 8-6 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CHI | adv | BAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10-0 | 9-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8-0 | 6-7-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-6-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||