| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Thursday, November 12, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | Monster Park, San Francisco, CA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | CHI | +3.5 | 43.0 | +165 |
| 106 | SFO | -3.5 | -183 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | Power Ratings | San Francisco 59% odds to win | |
| San Francisco | Similar Games | San Francisco 63% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +3.5 | Power Ratings | Chicago loses by 2.7 | |
| SFO -3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | San Francisco 54% odds to cover | |
| SFO -3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | San Francisco wins by 4.2 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 43.0 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +165 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
| Stat | CHI | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 20.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.337 | 0.351 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | +3.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 310.3 | 290.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.804% | 50.894% | |
| SOS PR | 24.6 | 22.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | CHI | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.4 | 17.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.363 | 0.268 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 338.5 | 326.4 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.2 | 47.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | CHI | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 7-5 | |
| Streak | W2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | CHI | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10-0 | 9-4-3 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8-0 | 7-3-2 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-3-2 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 5-2-1 | |
| Away | 2-6-0 | 4-2-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||