Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Hubert Humphrey Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 | SFO | +7.0 | 39.0 | +243 |
| 416 | MIN | -7.0 | -275 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | Power Ratings | San Francisco 72% odds to win | |
| Minnesota | Similar Games | Minnesota 60% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO +7.0 | Power Ratings | San Francisco wins by 8.0 | |
| SFO +7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | San Francisco 54% odds to cover | |
| SFO +7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | San Francisco loses by 3.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.0 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go under 39.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO +238 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 43% different from model | |
| SFO +238 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SFO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.6 | 29.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.351 | 0.445 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.1 | +10.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 290.8 | 381.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.894% | 54.644% | |
| SOS PR | 22.4 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SFO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.6 | 19.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.268 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 326.4 | 299.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.6 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 47.4 | 46.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SFO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 12-4 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5 | 10-4 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 9-0 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SFO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-3 | 11-6-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 4-1-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-3-2 | 9-4-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-3-2 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 5-2-1 | 6-2-1 | |
| Away | 4-2-2 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||