Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 | SFO | +6.0 | 42.0 | +238 |
| 418 | GNB | -6.0 | -270 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | Power Ratings | Green Bay 57% odds to win | |
| Green Bay | Similar Games | Green Bay 62% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO +6.5 | Power Ratings | San Francisco loses by 1.8 | |
| SFO +6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | San Francisco 53% odds to cover | |
| SFO +6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | San Francisco loses by 5.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 42.0 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go under 42.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO +228 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model | |
| SFO +228 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SFO | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.6 | 29.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.351 | 0.456 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.1 | +9.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 290.8 | 386.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.894% | 53.712% | |
| SOS PR | 22.4 | 25.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SFO | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.6 | 20.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.268 | 0.346 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 326.4 | 298.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 2.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.6 | +1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 47.4 | 66.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SFO | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 11-5 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5 | 9-4 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SFO | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-3 | 11-5-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-3-2 | 8-4-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-3-2 | 7-2-1 | |
| Home | 5-2-1 | 5-2-1 | |
| Away | 4-2-2 | 6-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||