Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 | SFO | +13.0 | 45.0 | +615 |
| 216 | IND | -13.0 | -745 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | Power Ratings | Indianapolis 83% odds to win | |
| Indianapolis | Similar Games | Indianapolis 85% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND -13.0 | Power Ratings | Indianapolis wins by 13.5 | |
| SFO +13.0 | Similar Games - Odds | San Francisco 54% odds to cover | |
| SFO +13.0 | Similar Games - Pts | San Francisco loses by 12.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 45.0 | Similar Games | 61% odds to go over 45.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO +615 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| SFO +615 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SFO | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.6 | 25.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.351 | 0.417 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.1 | +7.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 290.8 | 363.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.894% | 47.043% | |
| SOS PR | 22.4 | 28.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SFO | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.6 | 18.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.268 | 0.273 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 326.4 | 338.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.6 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 47.4 | 32.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SFO | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 14-2 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5 | 12-2 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 9-1 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 7-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SFO | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-3 | 12-6-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-1-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-3-2 | 9-4-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-3-2 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Away | 4-2-2 | 7-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||