College Football Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 4929 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2438-2423-68 and covered the spread 50.2% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-9.5 1 0-0-1 --
-8.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6.5 5 2-3-0 40.0%
-6 5 3-2-0 60.0%
-5.5 8 3-5-0 37.5%
-5 15 8-7-0 53.3%
-4.5 34 22-11-1 66.7%
-4 48 26-22-0 54.2%
-3.5 84 42-40-2 51.2%
-3 134 69-62-3 52.7%
-2.5 187 107-80-0 57.2%
-2 261 116-141-4 45.1%
-1.5 302 153-145-4 51.3%
-1 423 195-225-3 46.4%
-0.5 566 289-272-5 51.5%
0 762 372-378-12 49.6%
0.5 581 302-272-7 52.6%
1 449 235-206-8 53.3%
1.5 296 140-152-4 47.9%
2 241 111-125-5 47.0%
2.5 179 86-89-4 49.1%
3 110 52-58-0 47.3%
3.5 91 37-53-1 41.1%
4 51 21-28-2 42.9%
4.5 27 12-15-0 44.4%
5 25 14-10-1 58.3%
5.5 11 4-7-0 36.4%
6 7 3-4-0 42.9%
6.5 7 5-2-0 71.4%
7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
9 1 0-1-0 0.0%
9.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
10.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
13 1 1-0-0 100.0%
16.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
17 1 0-1-0 0.0%
20.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
31 1 0-0-1 --
33.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
50.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.