College Football Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 4602 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2280-2257-65 and covered the spread 50.3% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-9.5 1 0-0-1 --
-8.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6.5 3 1-2-0 33.3%
-6 5 3-2-0 60.0%
-5.5 7 3-4-0 42.9%
-5 13 7-6-0 53.8%
-4.5 27 18-8-1 69.2%
-4 46 25-21-0 54.3%
-3.5 78 40-36-2 52.6%
-3 123 62-58-3 51.7%
-2.5 175 104-71-0 59.4%
-2 240 106-130-4 44.9%
-1.5 278 143-131-4 52.2%
-1 404 189-214-1 46.9%
-0.5 541 276-260-5 51.5%
0 712 353-347-12 50.4%
0.5 550 289-255-6 53.1%
1 432 224-200-8 52.8%
1.5 277 124-149-4 45.4%
2 230 106-119-5 47.1%
2.5 166 77-85-4 47.5%
3 95 45-50-0 47.4%
3.5 81 33-47-1 41.2%
4 39 15-22-2 40.5%
4.5 24 11-13-0 45.8%
5 21 10-10-1 50.0%
5.5 10 4-6-0 40.0%
6 6 2-4-0 33.3%
6.5 2 2-0-0 100.0%
7 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
9 1 0-1-0 0.0%
9.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
13 1 1-0-0 100.0%
16.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
17 1 0-1-0 0.0%
20.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
31 1 0-0-1 --
33.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
50.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.