College Football Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 5469 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2691-2701-77 and covered the spread 49.9% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-14 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-9.5 1 0-0-1 --
-8.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6.5 6 2-4-0 33.3%
-6 5 3-2-0 60.0%
-5.5 8 3-5-0 37.5%
-5 17 8-9-0 47.1%
-4.5 36 23-12-1 65.7%
-4 56 31-25-0 55.4%
-3.5 93 46-45-2 50.5%
-3 149 73-73-3 50.0%
-2.5 209 117-92-0 56.0%
-2 290 129-156-5 45.3%
-1.5 336 168-164-4 50.6%
-1 471 214-253-4 45.8%
-0.5 625 313-302-10 50.9%
0 835 413-409-13 50.2%
0.5 636 334-295-7 53.1%
1 494 258-228-8 53.1%
1.5 334 156-174-4 47.3%
2 278 128-144-6 47.1%
2.5 204 100-100-4 50.0%
3 127 58-69-0 45.7%
3.5 101 42-58-1 42.0%
4 55 24-29-2 45.3%
4.5 31 12-19-0 38.7%
5 26 14-11-1 56.0%
5.5 12 4-8-0 33.3%
6 7 3-4-0 42.9%
6.5 7 5-2-0 71.4%
7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
9 1 0-1-0 0.0%
9.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
10.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
13 1 1-0-0 100.0%
16.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
17 1 0-1-0 0.0%
20.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
31 1 0-0-1 --
33.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
50.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.