College Football Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 5142 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2533-2539-70 and covered the spread 49.9% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-9.5 1 0-0-1 --
-8.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6.5 5 2-3-0 40.0%
-6 5 3-2-0 60.0%
-5.5 8 3-5-0 37.5%
-5 17 8-9-0 47.1%
-4.5 35 22-12-1 64.7%
-4 51 28-23-0 54.9%
-3.5 89 45-42-2 51.7%
-3 139 70-66-3 51.5%
-2.5 199 112-87-0 56.3%
-2 272 122-146-4 45.5%
-1.5 313 158-151-4 51.1%
-1 440 202-235-3 46.2%
-0.5 591 300-284-7 51.4%
0 785 384-389-12 49.7%
0.5 606 313-286-7 52.3%
1 465 244-213-8 53.4%
1.5 305 146-155-4 48.5%
2 257 118-134-5 46.8%
2.5 190 90-96-4 48.4%
3 118 54-64-0 45.8%
3.5 97 40-56-1 41.7%
4 53 22-29-2 43.1%
4.5 30 12-18-0 40.0%
5 26 14-11-1 56.0%
5.5 12 4-8-0 33.3%
6 7 3-4-0 42.9%
6.5 7 5-2-0 71.4%
7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
9 1 0-1-0 0.0%
9.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
10.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
13 1 1-0-0 100.0%
16.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
17 1 0-1-0 0.0%
20.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
31 1 0-0-1 --
33.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
50.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.