College Football Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 4818 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2381-2371-66 and covered the spread 50.1% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-9.5 1 0-0-1 --
-8.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6.5 5 2-3-0 40.0%
-6 5 3-2-0 60.0%
-5.5 8 3-5-0 37.5%
-5 15 8-7-0 53.3%
-4.5 30 19-10-1 65.5%
-4 46 25-21-0 54.3%
-3.5 83 42-39-2 51.9%
-3 132 67-62-3 51.9%
-2.5 183 105-78-0 57.4%
-2 254 113-137-4 45.2%
-1.5 292 148-140-4 51.4%
-1 416 193-221-2 46.6%
-0.5 558 284-269-5 51.4%
0 751 368-371-12 49.8%
0.5 573 300-267-6 52.9%
1 444 232-204-8 53.2%
1.5 288 134-150-4 47.2%
2 235 107-123-5 46.5%
2.5 176 84-88-4 48.8%
3 104 49-55-0 47.1%
3.5 87 36-50-1 41.9%
4 45 16-27-2 37.2%
4.5 24 11-13-0 45.8%
5 23 12-10-1 54.5%
5.5 10 4-6-0 40.0%
6 7 3-4-0 42.9%
6.5 5 4-1-0 80.0%
7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
9 1 0-1-0 0.0%
9.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
13 1 1-0-0 100.0%
16.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
17 1 0-1-0 0.0%
20.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
31 1 0-0-1 --
33.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
50.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.