College Football Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 5436 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 2679-2680-77 and covered the spread 50.0% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-14 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-9.5 1 0-0-1 --
-8.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
-6.5 6 2-4-0 33.3%
-6 5 3-2-0 60.0%
-5.5 8 3-5-0 37.5%
-5 17 8-9-0 47.1%
-4.5 36 23-12-1 65.7%
-4 56 31-25-0 55.4%
-3.5 93 46-45-2 50.5%
-3 148 73-72-3 50.3%
-2.5 208 117-91-0 56.2%
-2 289 129-155-5 45.4%
-1.5 333 166-163-4 50.5%
-1 468 213-251-4 45.9%
-0.5 617 312-295-10 51.4%
0 831 410-408-13 50.1%
0.5 632 331-294-7 53.0%
1 491 258-225-8 53.4%
1.5 332 156-172-4 47.6%
2 278 128-144-6 47.1%
2.5 201 98-99-4 49.7%
3 127 58-69-0 45.7%
3.5 101 42-58-1 42.0%
4 55 24-29-2 45.3%
4.5 31 12-19-0 38.7%
5 26 14-11-1 56.0%
5.5 12 4-8-0 33.3%
6 7 3-4-0 42.9%
6.5 7 5-2-0 71.4%
7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
9 1 0-1-0 0.0%
9.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
10.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
13 1 1-0-0 100.0%
16.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
17 1 0-1-0 0.0%
20.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
31 1 0-0-1 --
33.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
50.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.