College Football Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 3756 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 1844-1856-56 and covered the spread 49.8% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-9.5 1 0-0-1 --
-7 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-6.5 2 0-2-0 0.0%
-6 3 2-1-0 66.7%
-5.5 5 3-2-0 60.0%
-5 8 5-3-0 62.5%
-4.5 18 11-6-1 64.7%
-4 30 15-15-0 50.0%
-3.5 54 29-23-2 55.8%
-3 85 40-43-2 48.2%
-2.5 137 80-57-0 58.4%
-2 188 82-102-4 44.6%
-1.5 227 115-108-4 51.6%
-1 337 156-180-1 46.4%
-0.5 460 233-223-4 51.1%
0 593 300-285-8 51.3%
0.5 464 253-207-4 55.0%
1 370 184-178-8 50.8%
1.5 230 100-126-4 44.2%
2 189 87-97-5 47.3%
2.5 126 54-69-3 43.9%
3 75 35-40-0 46.7%
3.5 56 19-36-1 34.5%
4 32 12-18-2 40.0%
4.5 22 10-12-0 45.5%
5 19 9-9-1 50.0%
5.5 6 2-4-0 33.3%
6 6 2-4-0 33.3%
6.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
7 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
9 1 0-1-0 0.0%
9.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
16.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
17 1 0-1-0 0.0%
20.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
31 1 0-0-1 --
33.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
50.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.