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College Football Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Point Spread

Opening Favorite of 1-2.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 6 3-3-0 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 26 10-15-1 40.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 172 81-89-2 47.6%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 63 36-27-0 57.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 86 45-41-0 52.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 34 19-15-0 55.9%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 90 36-52-2 40.9%
Total 477 230-242-5 48.7%

Opening Favorite of 3-6.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 45 20-25-0 44.4%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 102 48-53-1 47.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 351 171-174-6 49.6%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 242 106-130-6 44.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 456 228-222-6 50.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 140 74-61-5 54.8%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 59 27-30-2 47.4%
Total 1395 674-695-26 49.2%

Opening Favorite of 7-9.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 33 19-12-2 61.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 61 30-30-1 50.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 160 73-82-5 47.1%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 117 53-63-1 45.7%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 253 125-124-4 50.2%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 78 29-47-2 38.2%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 34 19-15-0 55.9%
Total 736 348-373-15 48.3%

Opening Favorite of 10-13.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 68 34-33-1 50.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 54 22-31-1 41.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 206 100-106-0 48.5%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 83 37-46-0 44.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 218 114-102-2 52.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 79 38-41-0 48.1%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 79 38-40-1 48.7%
Total 787 383-399-5 49.0%

Opening Favorite of 14-20.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 89 45-44-0 50.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 112 61-51-0 54.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 259 125-131-3 48.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 123 69-53-1 56.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 236 123-110-3 52.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 72 24-46-2 34.3%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 66 25-41-0 37.9%
Total 957 472-476-9 49.8%

Opening Favorite of 21-27.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 76 37-37-2 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 74 41-32-1 56.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 141 81-60-0 57.4%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 83 45-37-1 54.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 87 46-39-2 54.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 40 26-13-1 66.7%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 30 14-16-0 46.7%
Total 531 290-234-7 55.3%

Opening Favorite of 28+
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 52 30-20-2 60.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 49 23-26-0 46.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 115 55-58-2 48.7%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 119 63-52-4 54.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 118 63-53-2 54.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 35 15-20-0 42.9%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 22 9-13-0 40.9%
Total 510 258-242-10 51.6%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the value of the opening spread, ranging from small favorites to large ones. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that opening spread, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.