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College Football Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Point Spread

Opening Favorite of 1-2.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 4 1-3-0 25.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 21 8-13-0 38.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 149 70-77-2 47.6%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 56 33-23-0 58.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 73 36-37-0 49.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 31 17-14-0 54.8%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 83 34-47-2 42.0%
Total 417 199-214-4 48.2%

Opening Favorite of 3-6.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 39 16-23-0 41.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 82 39-42-1 48.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 310 156-152-2 50.6%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 206 88-112-6 44.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 395 197-192-6 50.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 112 60-47-5 56.1%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 45 21-22-2 48.8%
Total 1189 577-590-22 49.4%

Opening Favorite of 7-9.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 24 14-8-2 63.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 54 27-26-1 50.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 144 66-74-4 47.1%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 107 45-62-0 42.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 231 115-112-4 50.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 65 23-40-2 36.5%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 23 13-10-0 56.5%
Total 648 303-332-13 47.7%

Opening Favorite of 10-13.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 55 29-25-1 53.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 48 19-28-1 40.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 180 88-92-0 48.9%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 75 34-41-0 45.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 185 96-87-2 52.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 62 29-33-0 46.8%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 51 26-24-1 52.0%
Total 656 321-330-5 49.3%

Opening Favorite of 14-20.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 73 40-33-0 54.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 96 57-39-0 59.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 205 103-101-1 50.5%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 110 67-42-1 61.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 205 107-95-3 53.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 62 20-40-2 33.3%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 50 18-32-0 36.0%
Total 801 412-382-7 51.9%

Opening Favorite of 21-27.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 66 32-32-2 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 61 36-24-1 60.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 132 76-56-0 57.6%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 64 33-30-1 52.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 69 36-32-1 52.9%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 34 23-11-0 67.6%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 19 9-10-0 47.4%
Total 445 245-195-5 55.7%

Opening Favorite of 28+
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 42 26-14-2 65.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 41 18-23-0 43.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 93 45-47-1 48.9%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 94 53-37-4 58.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 101 50-49-2 50.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 30 11-19-0 36.7%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 19 7-12-0 36.8%
Total 420 210-201-9 51.1%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the value of the opening spread, ranging from small favorites to large ones. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that opening spread, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.