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College Football Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Point Spread

Opening Favorite of 1-2.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 6 3-3-0 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 26 10-15-1 40.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 179 82-95-2 46.3%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 64 37-27-0 57.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 88 45-43-0 51.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 35 20-15-0 57.1%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 90 36-52-2 40.9%
Total 488 233-250-5 48.2%

Opening Favorite of 3-6.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 46 20-26-0 43.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 104 48-55-1 46.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 359 174-179-6 49.3%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 243 107-130-6 45.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 461 230-225-6 50.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 141 75-61-5 55.1%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 59 27-30-2 47.4%
Total 1413 681-706-26 49.1%

Opening Favorite of 7-9.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 33 19-12-2 61.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 61 30-30-1 50.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 161 73-83-5 46.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 119 54-64-1 45.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 255 126-125-4 50.2%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 78 29-47-2 38.2%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 34 19-15-0 55.9%
Total 741 350-376-15 48.2%

Opening Favorite of 10-13.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 68 34-33-1 50.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 54 22-31-1 41.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 206 100-106-0 48.5%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 84 38-46-0 45.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 218 114-102-2 52.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 81 39-42-0 48.1%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 79 38-40-1 48.7%
Total 790 385-400-5 49.0%

Opening Favorite of 14-20.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 89 45-44-0 50.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 112 61-51-0 54.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 259 125-131-3 48.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 123 69-53-1 56.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 237 124-110-3 53.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 72 24-46-2 34.3%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 66 25-41-0 37.9%
Total 958 473-476-9 49.8%

Opening Favorite of 21-27.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 76 37-37-2 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 74 41-32-1 56.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 141 81-60-0 57.4%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 83 45-37-1 54.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 87 46-39-2 54.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 40 26-13-1 66.7%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 30 14-16-0 46.7%
Total 531 290-234-7 55.3%

Opening Favorite of 28+
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 52 30-20-2 60.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 49 23-26-0 46.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 115 55-58-2 48.7%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 119 63-52-4 54.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 118 63-53-2 54.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 35 15-20-0 42.9%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 22 9-13-0 40.9%
Total 510 258-242-10 51.6%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the value of the opening spread, ranging from small favorites to large ones. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that opening spread, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.