Our Week 8 NFL contest for $2,249 in guaranteed prizes is open! Claim Your Spot Now

College Football Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Point Spread

Opening Favorite of 1-2.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 6 3-3-0 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 22 8-14-0 36.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 163 77-84-2 47.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 58 34-24-0 58.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 80 40-40-0 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 32 18-14-0 56.2%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 89 35-52-2 40.2%
Total 450 215-231-4 48.2%

Opening Favorite of 3-6.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 42 17-25-0 40.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 94 45-48-1 48.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 324 160-161-3 49.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 223 94-123-6 43.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 419 210-203-6 50.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 128 67-56-5 54.5%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 54 25-27-2 48.1%
Total 1284 618-643-23 49.0%

Opening Favorite of 7-9.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 29 17-10-2 63.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 57 28-28-1 50.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 155 72-78-5 48.0%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 108 46-62-0 42.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 240 117-119-4 49.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 70 26-42-2 38.2%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 32 18-14-0 56.2%
Total 691 324-353-14 47.9%

Opening Favorite of 10-13.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 61 32-28-1 53.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 52 21-30-1 41.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 193 95-98-0 49.2%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 81 36-45-0 44.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 201 103-96-2 51.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 72 33-39-0 45.8%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 70 33-36-1 47.8%
Total 730 353-372-5 48.7%

Opening Favorite of 14-20.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 81 43-38-0 53.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 108 59-49-0 54.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 232 115-115-2 50.0%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 118 68-49-1 58.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 231 122-106-3 53.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 68 23-43-2 34.8%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 65 25-40-0 38.5%
Total 903 455-440-8 50.8%

Opening Favorite of 21-27.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 73 36-35-2 50.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 67 38-28-1 57.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 139 79-60-0 56.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 78 40-37-1 51.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 80 42-36-2 53.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 39 26-13-0 66.7%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 30 14-16-0 46.7%
Total 506 275-225-6 55.0%

Opening Favorite of 28+
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 50 30-18-2 62.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 48 22-26-0 45.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 112 53-57-2 48.2%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 113 61-48-4 56.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 115 61-52-2 54.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 34 14-20-0 41.2%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 22 9-13-0 40.9%
Total 494 250-234-10 51.7%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the value of the opening spread, ranging from small favorites to large ones. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that opening spread, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.