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College Football Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Point Spread

Opening Favorite of 1-2.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 6 3-3-0 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 24 9-15-0 37.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 168 80-86-2 48.2%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 63 36-27-0 57.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 85 44-41-0 51.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 34 19-15-0 55.9%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 90 36-52-2 40.9%
Total 470 227-239-4 48.7%

Opening Favorite of 3-6.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 44 19-25-0 43.2%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 101 48-52-1 48.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 346 169-172-5 49.6%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 240 105-129-6 44.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 444 221-217-6 50.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 138 72-61-5 54.1%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 59 27-30-2 47.4%
Total 1372 661-686-25 49.1%

Opening Favorite of 7-9.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 33 19-12-2 61.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 60 30-29-1 50.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 159 73-81-5 47.4%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 115 52-62-1 45.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 249 124-121-4 50.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 74 27-45-2 37.5%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 34 19-15-0 55.9%
Total 724 344-365-15 48.5%

Opening Favorite of 10-13.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 67 34-32-1 51.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 53 22-30-1 42.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 203 97-106-0 47.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 82 36-46-0 43.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 213 110-101-2 52.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 77 37-40-0 48.1%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 76 37-38-1 49.3%
Total 771 373-393-5 48.7%

Opening Favorite of 14-20.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 88 45-43-0 51.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 112 61-51-0 54.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 253 124-127-2 49.4%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 122 69-52-1 57.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 235 123-109-3 53.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 71 24-45-2 34.8%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 66 25-41-0 37.9%
Total 947 471-468-8 50.2%

Opening Favorite of 21-27.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 74 36-36-2 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 72 40-31-1 56.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 141 81-60-0 57.4%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 82 44-37-1 54.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 85 44-39-2 53.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 40 26-13-1 66.7%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 30 14-16-0 46.7%
Total 524 285-232-7 55.1%

Opening Favorite of 28+
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 52 30-20-2 60.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 48 22-26-0 45.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 115 55-58-2 48.7%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 119 63-52-4 54.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 118 63-53-2 54.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 35 15-20-0 42.9%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 22 9-13-0 40.9%
Total 509 257-242-10 51.5%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the value of the opening spread, ranging from small favorites to large ones. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that opening spread, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.