College Football Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Point Spread

Opening Favorite of 1-2.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 6 3-3-0 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 23 8-15-0 34.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 163 77-84-2 47.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 58 34-24-0 58.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 80 40-40-0 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 33 18-15-0 54.5%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 89 35-52-2 40.2%
Total 452 215-233-4 48.0%

Opening Favorite of 3-6.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 42 17-25-0 40.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 94 45-48-1 48.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 326 160-163-3 49.5%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 227 97-124-6 43.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 423 213-204-6 51.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 129 67-57-5 54.0%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 55 25-28-2 47.2%
Total 1296 624-649-23 49.0%

Opening Favorite of 7-9.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 29 17-10-2 63.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 57 28-28-1 50.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 155 72-78-5 48.0%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 109 47-62-0 43.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 242 119-119-4 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 70 26-42-2 38.2%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 32 18-14-0 56.2%
Total 694 327-353-14 48.1%

Opening Favorite of 10-13.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 63 32-30-1 51.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 52 21-30-1 41.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 197 96-101-0 48.7%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 81 36-45-0 44.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 204 106-96-2 52.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 73 34-39-0 46.6%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 71 34-36-1 48.6%
Total 741 359-377-5 48.8%

Opening Favorite of 14-20.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 85 44-41-0 51.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 110 60-50-0 54.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 240 118-120-2 49.6%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 118 68-49-1 58.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 231 122-106-3 53.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 69 23-44-2 34.3%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 65 25-40-0 38.5%
Total 918 460-450-8 50.5%

Opening Favorite of 21-27.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 73 36-35-2 50.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 68 39-28-1 58.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 139 79-60-0 56.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 79 41-37-1 52.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 81 42-37-2 53.2%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 39 26-13-0 66.7%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 30 14-16-0 46.7%
Total 509 277-226-6 55.1%

Opening Favorite of 28+
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 50 30-18-2 62.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 48 22-26-0 45.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 112 53-57-2 48.2%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 113 61-48-4 56.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 115 61-52-2 54.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 34 14-20-0 41.2%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 22 9-13-0 40.9%
Total 494 250-234-10 51.7%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the value of the opening spread, ranging from small favorites to large ones. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that opening spread, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.