College Football Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Point Spread

Opening Favorite of 1-2.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 4 1-3-0 25.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 14 5-9-0 35.7%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 130 59-69-2 46.1%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 47 29-18-0 61.7%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 65 32-33-0 49.2%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 24 12-12-0 50.0%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 72 29-41-2 41.4%
Total 356 167-185-4 47.4%

Opening Favorite of 3-6.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 27 9-18-0 33.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 67 30-36-1 45.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 268 134-132-2 50.4%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 165 73-87-5 45.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 334 161-167-6 49.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 93 49-40-4 55.1%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 37 17-18-2 48.6%
Total 991 473-498-20 48.7%

Opening Favorite of 7-9.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 18 11-6-1 64.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 45 23-21-1 52.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 120 58-59-3 49.6%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 97 42-55-0 43.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 195 98-94-3 51.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 51 18-31-2 36.7%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 16 8-8-0 50.0%
Total 542 258-274-10 48.5%

Opening Favorite of 10-13.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 37 20-16-1 55.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 38 15-22-1 40.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 154 71-83-0 46.1%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 65 32-33-0 49.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 164 84-78-2 51.9%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 50 21-29-0 42.0%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 37 18-18-1 50.0%
Total 545 261-279-5 48.3%

Opening Favorite of 14-20.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 54 28-26-0 51.9%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 81 48-33-0 59.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 176 88-87-1 50.3%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 92 55-36-1 60.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 173 93-78-2 54.4%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 46 14-30-2 31.8%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 36 11-25-0 30.6%
Total 658 337-315-6 51.7%

Opening Favorite of 21-27.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 38 18-18-2 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 41 24-16-1 60.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 101 61-40-0 60.4%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 51 27-23-1 54.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 54 32-21-1 60.4%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 29 19-10-0 65.5%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 16 8-8-0 50.0%
Total 330 189-136-5 58.2%

Opening Favorite of 28+
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 25 15-8-2 65.2%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 29 12-17-0 41.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 68 30-37-1 44.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 76 42-33-1 56.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 79 37-40-2 48.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 22 8-14-0 36.4%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 14 4-10-0 28.6%
Total 313 148-159-6 48.2%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the value of the opening spread, ranging from small favorites to large ones. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that opening spread, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.