Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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Washington St Projected Matchup Analysis

Washington St Power Ratings
vs. North Carolina
  Expected margin = -4.1
  Chance of beating: 31.67%   


vs. Louisville
  Expected margin = -0.6
  Chance of beating: 47%   


vs. Tennessee
  Expected margin = -0.6
  Chance of beating: 47%   


vs. Kansas
  Expected margin = -5.6
  Chance of beating: 26.8%   


vs. Villanova
  Expected margin = 4.3
  Chance of beating: 68.97%   


vs. Wisconsin
  Expected margin = -2.1
  Chance of beating: 39.6%   


vs. Davidson
  Expected margin = 0.7
  Chance of beating: 53.5%   


vs. Memphis
  Expected margin = -4
  Chance of beating: 32%   


vs. Michigan St
  Expected margin = 1
  Chance of beating: 55%   


vs. Stanford
  Expected margin = -0.1
  Chance of beating: 49.5%   


vs. Texas
  Expected margin = -0.8
  Chance of beating: 46%   


vs. UCLA
  Expected margin = -3.6
  Chance of beating: 33.6%   


vs. Western KY
  Expected margin = 3.7
  Chance of beating: 66.8%   


vs. Xavier
  Expected margin = 0.8
  Chance of beating: 54%   


vs. West Virginia
  Expected margin = 0.9
  Chance of beating: 54.5%