Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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Kansas Projected Matchup Analysis

Kansas Power Ratings
vs. North Carolina
  Expected margin = 1.5
  Chance of beating: 57.5%   


vs. Washington St
  Expected margin = 5.6
  Chance of beating: 73.2%   


vs. Louisville
  Expected margin = 5
  Chance of beating: 71.25%   


vs. Tennessee
  Expected margin = 5
  Chance of beating: 71.25%   


vs. Villanova
  Expected margin = 9.9
  Chance of beating: 84.28%   


vs. Wisconsin
  Expected margin = 3.5
  Chance of beating: 66%   


vs. Davidson
  Expected margin = 6.3
  Chance of beating: 75.33%   


vs. Memphis
  Expected margin = 1.6
  Chance of beating: 58%   


vs. Michigan St
  Expected margin = 6.6
  Chance of beating: 76.15%   


vs. Stanford
  Expected margin = 5.5
  Chance of beating: 72.88%   


vs. Texas
  Expected margin = 4.8
  Chance of beating: 70.6%   


vs. UCLA
  Expected margin = 2
  Chance of beating: 60%   


vs. Western KY
  Expected margin = 9.3
  Chance of beating: 82.93%   


vs. Xavier
  Expected margin = 6.4
  Chance of beating: 75.6%   


vs. West Virginia
  Expected margin = 6.5
  Chance of beating: 75.88%