Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

Georgetown Projected Matchup Analysis

Georgetown Power Ratings
vs. 1 North Carolina
  Expected margin = -3.6
  Chance of beating: 33.6%   


vs. 16 Mt St Marys
  Expected margin = 12.7
  Chance of beating: 90.4%   


vs. 16 Coppin St
  Expected margin = 18.4
  Chance of beating: 97.7%   


vs. 8 Indiana
  Expected margin = 2.4
  Chance of beating: 61.6%   


vs. 9 Arkansas
  Expected margin = 4.9
  Chance of beating: 70.92%   


vs. 5 Notre Dame
  Expected margin = 2.1
  Chance of beating: 60.4%   


vs. 12 George Mason
  Expected margin = 7.9
  Chance of beating: 79.72%   


vs. 4 Washington St
  Expected margin = 0.8
  Chance of beating: 54%   


vs. 13 Winthrop
  Expected margin = 9
  Chance of beating: 82.25%   


vs. 3 Louisville
  Expected margin = 0.5
  Chance of beating: 52.5%   


vs. 14 Boise St
  Expected margin = 9.3
  Chance of beating: 82.93%   


vs. 6 Oklahoma
  Expected margin = 4.2
  Chance of beating: 68.65%   


vs. 11 St Josephs
  Expected margin = 5.1
  Chance of beating: 71.57%   


vs. 7 Butler
  Expected margin = 2.1
  Chance of beating: 60.4%   


vs. 10 South Alabama
  Expected margin = 5.4
  Chance of beating: 72.55%   


vs. 2 Tennessee
  Expected margin = 0.1
  Chance of beating: 50.5%   


vs. 15 American
  Expected margin = 11.3
  Chance of beating: 87.43%   


vs. 1 Kansas
  Expected margin = -4.9
  Chance of beating: 29.07%   


vs. 16 Portland St
  Expected margin = 9.9
  Chance of beating: 84.27%   


vs. 8 UNLV
  Expected margin = 4.9
  Chance of beating: 70.92%   


vs. 9 Kent
  Expected margin = 4.3
  Chance of beating: 68.97%   


vs. 5 Clemson
  Expected margin = 1.4
  Chance of beating: 57%   


vs. 12 Villanova
  Expected margin = 5.5
  Chance of beating: 72.88%   


vs. 4 Vanderbilt
  Expected margin = 4.8
  Chance of beating: 70.6%   


vs. 13 Siena
  Expected margin = 8.5
  Chance of beating: 81.13%   


vs. 3 Wisconsin
  Expected margin = -1.3
  Chance of beating: 43.5%   


vs. 14 CS Fullerton
  Expected margin = 7.3
  Chance of beating: 78.07%   


vs. 6 USC
  Expected margin = 1.5
  Chance of beating: 57.5%   


vs. 11 Kansas St
  Expected margin = 3.5
  Chance of beating: 66%   


vs. 7 Gonzaga
  Expected margin = 3.2
  Chance of beating: 64.8%   


vs. 10 Davidson
  Expected margin = 1.7
  Chance of beating: 58.5%   


vs. 15 Umbc
  Expected margin = 10.2
  Chance of beating: 84.95%   


vs. 1 Memphis
  Expected margin = -3.9
  Chance of beating: 32.4%   


vs. 16 Texas Arlington
  Expected margin = 13
  Chance of beating: 91%   


vs. 8 Mississippi St
  Expected margin = 4
  Chance of beating: 68%   


vs. 9 Oregon
  Expected margin = 3.7
  Chance of beating: 66.8%   


vs. 5 Michigan St
  Expected margin = 2
  Chance of beating: 60%   


vs. 12 Temple
  Expected margin = 5.7
  Chance of beating: 73.53%   


vs. 4 Pittsburgh
  Expected margin = 2
  Chance of beating: 60%   


vs. 13 Oral Roberts
  Expected margin = 6.4
  Chance of beating: 75.6%   


vs. 3 Stanford
  Expected margin = 0.2
  Chance of beating: 51%   


vs. 14 Cornell
  Expected margin = 9.4
  Chance of beating: 83.15%   


vs. 6 Marquette
  Expected margin = 1.4
  Chance of beating: 57%   


vs. 11 Kentucky
  Expected margin = 6.7
  Chance of beating: 76.43%   


vs. 7 Miami Fla
  Expected margin = 4.8
  Chance of beating: 70.6%   


vs. 10 St Marys CA
  Expected margin = 4.9
  Chance of beating: 70.92%   


vs. 2 Texas
  Expected margin = -0.4
  Chance of beating: 48%   


vs. 15 Austin Peay
  Expected margin = 12.3
  Chance of beating: 89.6%   


vs. 1 UCLA
  Expected margin = -3.6
  Chance of beating: 33.6%   


vs. 16 Miss Valley St
  Expected margin = 19.7
  Chance of beating: 98.35%   


vs. 8 BYU
  Expected margin = 3.4
  Chance of beating: 65.6%   


vs. 9 Texas A&M
  Expected margin = 2.6
  Chance of beating: 62.4%   


vs. 5 Drake
  Expected margin = 1.3
  Chance of beating: 56.5%   


vs. 12 Western KY
  Expected margin = 4.5
  Chance of beating: 69.63%   


vs. 4 Connecticut
  Expected margin = 2.7
  Chance of beating: 62.8%   


vs. 13 San Diego
  Expected margin = 9.6
  Chance of beating: 83.6%   


vs. 3 Xavier
  Expected margin = 1.5
  Chance of beating: 57.5%   


vs. 14 Georgia
  Expected margin = 8.2
  Chance of beating: 80.45%   


vs. 6 Purdue
  Expected margin = 2.8
  Chance of beating: 63.2%   


vs. 11 Baylor
  Expected margin = 4
  Chance of beating: 68%   


vs. 7 West Virginia
  Expected margin = 2.2
  Chance of beating: 60.8%   


vs. 10 Arizona
  Expected margin = 2.4
  Chance of beating: 61.6%   


vs. 2 Duke
  Expected margin = -2.5
  Chance of beating: 38%   


vs. 15 Belmont
  Expected margin = 10.2
  Chance of beating: 84.95%