Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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Coppin St Projected Matchup Analysis

Coppin St Power Ratings
vs. 1 North Carolina
  Expected margin = -22
  Chance of beating: 1%   


vs. 16 Mt St Marys
  Expected margin = -5.7
  Chance of beating: 26.48%   


vs. 8 Indiana
  Expected margin = -16
  Chance of beating: 4%   


vs. 9 Arkansas
  Expected margin = -13.5
  Chance of beating: 8%   


vs. 5 Notre Dame
  Expected margin = -16.3
  Chance of beating: 3.78%   


vs. 12 George Mason
  Expected margin = -10.5
  Chance of beating: 14.38%   


vs. 4 Washington St
  Expected margin = -17.6
  Chance of beating: 2.8%   


vs. 13 Winthrop
  Expected margin = -9.4
  Chance of beating: 16.85%   


vs. 3 Louisville
  Expected margin = -17.9
  Chance of beating: 2.58%   


vs. 14 Boise St
  Expected margin = -9.1
  Chance of beating: 17.53%   


vs. 6 Oklahoma
  Expected margin = -14.2
  Chance of beating: 6.7%   


vs. 11 St Josephs
  Expected margin = -13.3
  Chance of beating: 8.4%   


vs. 7 Butler
  Expected margin = -16.3
  Chance of beating: 3.78%   


vs. 10 South Alabama
  Expected margin = -13
  Chance of beating: 9%   


vs. 2 Tennessee
  Expected margin = -18.3
  Chance of beating: 2.35%   


vs. 15 American
  Expected margin = -7.1
  Chance of beating: 22.48%   


vs. 1 Kansas
  Expected margin = -23.3
  Chance of beating: 0.58%   


vs. 16 Portland St
  Expected margin = -8.5
  Chance of beating: 18.88%   


vs. 8 UNLV
  Expected margin = -13.5
  Chance of beating: 8%   


vs. 9 Kent
  Expected margin = -14.1
  Chance of beating: 6.85%   


vs. 5 Clemson
  Expected margin = -17
  Chance of beating: 3.25%   


vs. 12 Villanova
  Expected margin = -12.9
  Chance of beating: 9.2%   


vs. 4 Vanderbilt
  Expected margin = -13.6
  Chance of beating: 7.8%   


vs. 13 Siena
  Expected margin = -9.9
  Chance of beating: 15.73%   


vs. 3 Wisconsin
  Expected margin = -19.7
  Chance of beating: 1.65%   


vs. 14 CS Fullerton
  Expected margin = -11.1
  Chance of beating: 13.03%   


vs. 6 USC
  Expected margin = -16.9
  Chance of beating: 3.33%   


vs. 11 Kansas St
  Expected margin = -14.9
  Chance of beating: 5.65%   


vs. 7 Gonzaga
  Expected margin = -15.2
  Chance of beating: 5.2%   


vs. 10 Davidson
  Expected margin = -16.7
  Chance of beating: 3.48%   


vs. 2 Georgetown
  Expected margin = -18.4
  Chance of beating: 2.3%   


vs. 15 Umbc
  Expected margin = -8.2
  Chance of beating: 19.55%   


vs. 1 Memphis
  Expected margin = -22.3
  Chance of beating: 0.9%   


vs. 16 Texas Arlington
  Expected margin = -5.4
  Chance of beating: 27.45%   


vs. 8 Mississippi St
  Expected margin = -14.4
  Chance of beating: 6.4%   


vs. 9 Oregon
  Expected margin = -14.7
  Chance of beating: 5.95%   


vs. 5 Michigan St
  Expected margin = -16.4
  Chance of beating: 3.7%   


vs. 12 Temple
  Expected margin = -12.7
  Chance of beating: 9.6%   


vs. 4 Pittsburgh
  Expected margin = -16.4
  Chance of beating: 3.7%   


vs. 13 Oral Roberts
  Expected margin = -12
  Chance of beating: 11%   


vs. 3 Stanford
  Expected margin = -18.2
  Chance of beating: 2.4%   


vs. 14 Cornell
  Expected margin = -9
  Chance of beating: 17.75%   


vs. 6 Marquette
  Expected margin = -17
  Chance of beating: 3.25%   


vs. 11 Kentucky
  Expected margin = -11.7
  Chance of beating: 11.68%   


vs. 7 Miami Fla
  Expected margin = -13.6
  Chance of beating: 7.8%   


vs. 10 St Marys CA
  Expected margin = -13.5
  Chance of beating: 8%   


vs. 2 Texas
  Expected margin = -18.8
  Chance of beating: 2.1%   


vs. 15 Austin Peay
  Expected margin = -6.1
  Chance of beating: 25.23%   


vs. 1 UCLA
  Expected margin = -22
  Chance of beating: 1%   


vs. 16 Miss Valley St
  Expected margin = 1.3
  Chance of beating: 56.5%   


vs. 8 BYU
  Expected margin = -15
  Chance of beating: 5.5%   


vs. 9 Texas A&M
  Expected margin = -15.8
  Chance of beating: 4.3%   


vs. 5 Drake
  Expected margin = -17.1
  Chance of beating: 3.18%   


vs. 12 Western KY
  Expected margin = -13.9
  Chance of beating: 7.2%   


vs. 4 Connecticut
  Expected margin = -15.7
  Chance of beating: 4.45%   


vs. 13 San Diego
  Expected margin = -8.8
  Chance of beating: 18.2%   


vs. 3 Xavier
  Expected margin = -16.9
  Chance of beating: 3.33%   


vs. 14 Georgia
  Expected margin = -10.2
  Chance of beating: 15.05%   


vs. 6 Purdue
  Expected margin = -15.6
  Chance of beating: 4.6%   


vs. 11 Baylor
  Expected margin = -14.4
  Chance of beating: 6.4%   


vs. 7 West Virginia
  Expected margin = -16.2
  Chance of beating: 3.85%   


vs. 10 Arizona
  Expected margin = -16
  Chance of beating: 4%   


vs. 2 Duke
  Expected margin = -20.9
  Chance of beating: 1.28%   


vs. 15 Belmont
  Expected margin = -8.2
  Chance of beating: 19.55%