Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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UCLA Projected Matchup Analysis

UCLA Power Ratings
vs. North Carolina
  Expected margin = -0.5
  Chance of beating: 47.5%   


vs. Washington St
  Expected margin = 3.6
  Chance of beating: 66.4%   


vs. Louisville
  Expected margin = 3
  Chance of beating: 64%   


vs. Tennessee
  Expected margin = 3
  Chance of beating: 64%   


vs. Kansas
  Expected margin = -2
  Chance of beating: 40%   


vs. Villanova
  Expected margin = 7.9
  Chance of beating: 79.73%   


vs. Wisconsin
  Expected margin = 1.5
  Chance of beating: 57.5%   


vs. Davidson
  Expected margin = 4.3
  Chance of beating: 68.97%   


vs. Memphis
  Expected margin = -0.4
  Chance of beating: 48%   


vs. Michigan St
  Expected margin = 4.6
  Chance of beating: 69.95%   


vs. Stanford
  Expected margin = 3.5
  Chance of beating: 66%   


vs. Texas
  Expected margin = 2.8
  Chance of beating: 63.2%   


vs. Western KY
  Expected margin = 7.3
  Chance of beating: 78.07%   


vs. Xavier
  Expected margin = 4.4
  Chance of beating: 69.3%   


vs. West Virginia
  Expected margin = 4.5
  Chance of beating: 69.63%