Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

Austin Peay Projected Matchup Analysis

Austin Peay Power Ratings
vs. 1 North Carolina
  Expected margin = -15.9
  Chance of beating: 4.15%   


vs. 16 Mt St Marys
  Expected margin = 0.4
  Chance of beating: 52%   


vs. 16 Coppin St
  Expected margin = 6.1
  Chance of beating: 74.77%   


vs. 8 Indiana
  Expected margin = -9.9
  Chance of beating: 15.72%   


vs. 9 Arkansas
  Expected margin = -7.4
  Chance of beating: 21.65%   


vs. 5 Notre Dame
  Expected margin = -10.2
  Chance of beating: 15.05%   


vs. 12 George Mason
  Expected margin = -4.4
  Chance of beating: 30.7%   


vs. 4 Washington St
  Expected margin = -11.5
  Chance of beating: 12.13%   


vs. 13 Winthrop
  Expected margin = -3.3
  Chance of beating: 34.8%   


vs. 3 Louisville
  Expected margin = -11.8
  Chance of beating: 11.45%   


vs. 14 Boise St
  Expected margin = -3
  Chance of beating: 36%   


vs. 6 Oklahoma
  Expected margin = -8.1
  Chance of beating: 19.78%   


vs. 11 St Josephs
  Expected margin = -7.2
  Chance of beating: 22.2%   


vs. 7 Butler
  Expected margin = -10.2
  Chance of beating: 15.05%   


vs. 10 South Alabama
  Expected margin = -6.9
  Chance of beating: 23.02%   


vs. 2 Tennessee
  Expected margin = -12.2
  Chance of beating: 10.6%   


vs. 15 American
  Expected margin = -1
  Chance of beating: 45%   


vs. 1 Kansas
  Expected margin = -17.2
  Chance of beating: 3.1%   


vs. 16 Portland St
  Expected margin = -2.4
  Chance of beating: 38.4%   


vs. 8 UNLV
  Expected margin = -7.4
  Chance of beating: 21.65%   


vs. 9 Kent
  Expected margin = -8
  Chance of beating: 20%   


vs. 5 Clemson
  Expected margin = -10.9
  Chance of beating: 13.47%   


vs. 12 Villanova
  Expected margin = -6.8
  Chance of beating: 23.3%   


vs. 4 Vanderbilt
  Expected margin = -7.5
  Chance of beating: 21.38%   


vs. 13 Siena
  Expected margin = -3.8
  Chance of beating: 32.8%   


vs. 3 Wisconsin
  Expected margin = -13.6
  Chance of beating: 7.8%   


vs. 14 CS Fullerton
  Expected margin = -5
  Chance of beating: 28.75%   


vs. 6 USC
  Expected margin = -10.8
  Chance of beating: 13.7%   


vs. 11 Kansas St
  Expected margin = -8.8
  Chance of beating: 18.2%   


vs. 7 Gonzaga
  Expected margin = -9.1
  Chance of beating: 17.53%   


vs. 10 Davidson
  Expected margin = -10.6
  Chance of beating: 14.15%   


vs. 2 Georgetown
  Expected margin = -12.3
  Chance of beating: 10.4%   


vs. 15 Umbc
  Expected margin = -2.1
  Chance of beating: 39.6%   


vs. 1 Memphis
  Expected margin = -16.2
  Chance of beating: 3.85%   


vs. 16 Texas Arlington
  Expected margin = 0.7
  Chance of beating: 53.5%   


vs. 8 Mississippi St
  Expected margin = -8.3
  Chance of beating: 19.33%   


vs. 9 Oregon
  Expected margin = -8.6
  Chance of beating: 18.65%   


vs. 5 Michigan St
  Expected margin = -10.3
  Chance of beating: 14.83%   


vs. 12 Temple
  Expected margin = -6.6
  Chance of beating: 23.85%   


vs. 4 Pittsburgh
  Expected margin = -10.3
  Chance of beating: 14.83%   


vs. 13 Oral Roberts
  Expected margin = -5.9
  Chance of beating: 25.82%   


vs. 3 Stanford
  Expected margin = -12.1
  Chance of beating: 10.8%   


vs. 14 Cornell
  Expected margin = -2.9
  Chance of beating: 36.4%   


vs. 6 Marquette
  Expected margin = -10.9
  Chance of beating: 13.47%   


vs. 11 Kentucky
  Expected margin = -5.6
  Chance of beating: 26.8%   


vs. 7 Miami Fla
  Expected margin = -7.5
  Chance of beating: 21.38%   


vs. 10 St Marys CA
  Expected margin = -7.4
  Chance of beating: 21.65%   


vs. 2 Texas
  Expected margin = -12.7
  Chance of beating: 9.6%   


vs. 1 UCLA
  Expected margin = -15.9
  Chance of beating: 4.15%   


vs. 16 Miss Valley St
  Expected margin = 7.4
  Chance of beating: 78.35%   


vs. 8 BYU
  Expected margin = -8.9
  Chance of beating: 17.97%   


vs. 9 Texas A&M
  Expected margin = -9.7
  Chance of beating: 16.17%   


vs. 5 Drake
  Expected margin = -11
  Chance of beating: 13.25%   


vs. 12 Western KY
  Expected margin = -7.8
  Chance of beating: 20.55%   


vs. 4 Connecticut
  Expected margin = -9.6
  Chance of beating: 16.4%   


vs. 13 San Diego
  Expected margin = -2.7
  Chance of beating: 37.2%   


vs. 3 Xavier
  Expected margin = -10.8
  Chance of beating: 13.7%   


vs. 14 Georgia
  Expected margin = -4.1
  Chance of beating: 31.68%   


vs. 6 Purdue
  Expected margin = -9.5
  Chance of beating: 16.63%   


vs. 11 Baylor
  Expected margin = -8.3
  Chance of beating: 19.33%   


vs. 7 West Virginia
  Expected margin = -10.1
  Chance of beating: 15.28%   


vs. 10 Arizona
  Expected margin = -9.9
  Chance of beating: 15.72%   


vs. 2 Duke
  Expected margin = -14.8
  Chance of beating: 5.8%   


vs. 15 Belmont
  Expected margin = -2.1
  Chance of beating: 39.6%