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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds
March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.
WASHINGTON ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 26-9
Power Rating: 89.1
Ranking: 15

3-6v #1-25
7-2v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
9-0v #201-341

Home Rankings (9-4): 83.2 (66)
1-2v #1-25
2-1v #26-50
1-1v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 5-483.3
Non-League Power Rankings: 4-087.7
Last Ten Rankings: 2-180.9

Away Rankings (10-3): 93.1 (7)
1-2v #1-25
4-1v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 6-390.8
Non-League Power Rankings: 4-093.1
Last Ten Rankings: 1-192.4

Neutral Rankings (7-2): 89.9 (18)
1-2v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
3-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 1-186.2
Non-League Power Rankings: 6-191.3
Last Ten Rankings: 3-289.8

League Power Rankings (12-8): 87.3 (24)
2-5v #1-25
5-2v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 5-483.3
Away Rankings: 6-390.8
Neutral Rankings: 1-186.2
Last Ten Rankings: 4-385.6

Non-League Power Rankings (14-1): 94.5 (6)
1-1v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
7-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 4-087.7
Away Rankings: 4-093.1
Neutral Rankings: 6-191.3
Last Ten Rankings: 2-193.0

Wins Power Rankings: 91.4 (15)
3-6v #1-25
7-2v #26-50
4-1v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
9-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 9-483.6
Away Rankings: 10-396.7
Neutral Rankings: 7-292.7
Last Ten Rankings: 6-490.2

Predictive / Points Rankings: 86.3 (13)
3-6v #1-25
5-2v #26-50
5-1v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
9-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 9-482.8
Away Rankings: 10-388.7
Neutral Rankings: 7-286.8
League Power Rankings: 12-885.2
Non-League Power Rankings: 14-189.4
Last Ten Rankings: 6-485.7

Last Ten Rankings (6-4): 88.1 (20)
0-3v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 2-180.9
Away Rankings: 1-192.4
Neutral Rankings: 3-289.8
League Power Rankings: 4-385.6
Non-League Power Rankings: 2-193.0

Home Advantage: -4.9 (330)


Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1 (11)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3 (13)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4 (16)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5 (23)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6 (34)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8 (71)

Upward Stability: 2.7 (221)

Downward Stability: 3.3 (63)

RPI
RPI: 0.6 (18)
0-6v #1-25
5-2v #26-50
8-1v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
9-0v #201-341


RPI Home (9-4): 0.5 (96)
0-1v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
4-1v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
4-0v #201-341


RPI Away (10-3): 0.6 (5)
2-2v #1-25
4-1v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341


RPI Neutral (7-2): 0.6 (35)
0-2v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
1-0v #201-341


RPI League (12-8): 0.5 (42)
0-5v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
5-2v #51-100
3-1v #101-200
2-0v #201-341


RPI Non-League (14-1): 0.6 (12)
0-1v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
5-0v #101-200
6-0v #201-341


RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5 (36)



GAMES
Date Site Score Opponent
11/9/2007Home W 68-41 vs. #279 Eastern Wash
11/13/2007Away W 86-74 vs. #107 Boise St
11/16/2007Home W 74-43 vs. #296 Idaho
11/23/2007Neut W 66-55 vs. #226 Montana
11/24/2007Neut W 71-26 vs. #291 Miss Valley St
11/25/2007Neut W 71-62 vs. #166 Air Force
11/30/2007Away W 67-64 vs. #40 Baylor
12/5/2007Away W 51-47 vs. #29 Gonzaga
12/9/2007Home W 72-60 vs. #117 Portland St
12/20/2007Neut W 67-45 vs. #333 The Citadel
12/23/2007Away W 75-45 vs. #278 Idaho St
12/28/2007Home W 67-34 vs. #285 NO Carolina A&T
1/5/2008Away W 56-52 vs. #81 Washington
1/10/2008Away W 73-58 vs. #25 USC
1/12/2008Away L 74-81 vs. #4 UCLA
1/17/2008Home W 69-46 vs. #284 Oregon St
1/20/2008Home W 69-60 vs. #45 Oregon
1/24/2008Away L 64-76 vs. #37 Arizona
1/26/2008Away W 56-55 vs. #48 Arizona St
1/31/2008Home L 64-69 vs. #69 California
2/2/2008Home L 65-67 vs. #12 Stanford
2/7/2008Home L 59-67 vs. #4 UCLA
2/9/2008Home W 74-50 vs. #25 USC
2/14/2008Away W 70-57 vs. #284 Oregon St
2/16/2008Away W 62-53 vs. #45 Oregon
2/21/2008Home W 59-47 vs. #48 Arizona St
2/23/2008Home L 55-65 vs. #37 Arizona
2/28/2008Away W 70-49 vs. #69 California
3/1/2008Away L 53-60 vs. #12 Stanford
3/8/2008Home W 76-73 vs. #81 Washington
3/13/2008Neut W 75-70 vs. #45 Oregon
3/14/2008Neut L 68-75 vs. #12 Stanford
3/20/2008Neut W 71-40 vs. #121 Winthrop
3/22/2008Neut W 61-41 vs. #20 Notre Dame
3/27/2008Neut L 47-68 vs. #3 North Carolina

FUTURE GAMES
Date Site Win ProbabilityMargin Opponent
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