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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds
March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled
Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.
TEXAS
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 30-7
Power Rating: 92.6
Ranking: 5

5-5v #1-25
9-0v #26-50
5-2v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
5-0v #201-341

Home Rankings (16-1): 93.9 (4)
2-1v #1-25
4-0v #26-50
3-0v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 8-091.2
Non-League Power Rankings: 8-187.5
Last Ten Rankings: 2-084.1

Away Rankings (7-3): 90.7 (11)
1-1v #1-25
3-0v #26-50
1-2v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
1-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 5-388.1
Non-League Power Rankings: 2-0101.0
Last Ten Rankings: 0-182.8

Neutral Rankings (7-3): 93.4 (7)
2-3v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 2-193.4
Non-League Power Rankings: 5-292.4
Last Ten Rankings: 5-292.8

League Power Rankings (15-4): 92.2 (7)
2-2v #1-25
7-0v #26-50
4-2v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 8-091.2
Away Rankings: 5-388.1
Neutral Rankings: 2-193.4
Last Ten Rankings: 4-288.0

Non-League Power Rankings (15-3): 93.1 (8)
3-3v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
5-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 8-187.5
Away Rankings: 2-0101.0
Neutral Rankings: 5-292.4
Last Ten Rankings: 3-192.5

Wins Power Rankings: 96.2 (5)
5-5v #1-25
9-0v #26-50
5-2v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
5-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 16-198.6
Away Rankings: 7-394.1
Neutral Rankings: 7-396.8
Last Ten Rankings: 7-394.6

Predictive / Points Rankings: 88.1 (7)
5-5v #1-25
8-0v #26-50
6-2v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
5-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 16-188.6
Away Rankings: 7-386.7
Neutral Rankings: 7-389.4
League Power Rankings: 15-487.7
Non-League Power Rankings: 15-388.9
Last Ten Rankings: 7-387.3

Last Ten Rankings (7-3): 91.3 (10)
4-2v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 2-084.1
Away Rankings: 0-182.8
Neutral Rankings: 5-292.8
League Power Rankings: 4-288.0
Non-League Power Rankings: 3-192.5

Home Advantage: 5.4 (120)


Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1 (2)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3 (2)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4 (2)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5 (2)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7 (3)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8 (19)

Upward Stability: 2.5 (282)

Downward Stability: 3.4 (48)

RPI
RPI: 0.6 (6)
4-4v #1-25
9-1v #26-50
7-1v #51-100
4-1v #101-200
6-0v #201-341


RPI Home (16-1): 0.6 (5)
1-0v #1-25
4-1v #26-50
5-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-341


RPI Away (7-3): 0.6 (12)
2-0v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
2-1v #201-341


RPI Neutral (7-3): 0.6 (7)
3-3v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341


RPI League (15-4): 0.6 (3)
1-1v #1-25
10-1v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
2-1v #101-200
0-0v #201-341


RPI Non-League (15-3): 0.6 (7)
3-3v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
3-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
6-0v #201-341


RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.6 (2)



GAMES
Date Site Score Opponent
11/12/2007Home W 58-37 vs. #250 Tex San Antonio
11/16/2007Home W 73-42 vs. #315 UC Davis
11/23/2007Neut W 102-87 vs. #139 New Mexico St
11/24/2007Neut W 97-78 vs. #7 Tennessee
11/28/2007Home W 98-61 vs. #336 Texas Southern
12/2/2007Away W 63-61 vs. #4 UCLA
12/5/2007Home W 88-72 vs. #146 North Texas
12/8/2007Away W 80-54 vs. #322 Rice
12/15/2007Home W 96-81 vs. #263 Texas St
12/18/2007Home W 66-56 vs. #68 Oral Roberts
12/22/2007Neut L 72-78 vs. #16 Michigan St
12/29/2007Home L 66-67 vs. #6 Wisconsin
1/2/2008Home W 67-59 vs. #189 TCU
1/5/2008Home W 81-62 vs. #50 St Marys CA
1/12/2008Away L 84-97 vs. #73 Missouri
1/19/2008Home W 69-67 vs. #137 Colorado
1/21/2008Away W 63-61 vs. #60 Oklahoma St
1/26/2008Home W 73-47 vs. #65 Texas Tech
1/30/2008Away L 63-80 vs. #23 Texas A&M
2/2/2008Home W 80-72 vs. #40 Baylor
2/6/2008Away W 64-54 vs. #28 Oklahoma
2/9/2008Away W 71-65 vs. #127 Iowa St
2/11/2008Home W 72-69 vs. #1 Kansas
2/16/2008Away W 82-77 vs. #40 Baylor
2/18/2008Home W 77-50 vs. #23 Texas A&M
2/23/2008Home W 62-45 vs. #28 Oklahoma
2/25/2008Away W 74-65 vs. #31 Kansas St
3/1/2008Away L 80-83 vs. #65 Texas Tech
3/4/2008Home W 70-66 vs. #46 Nebraska
3/9/2008Home W 62-57 vs. #60 Oklahoma St
3/14/2008Neut W 66-59 vs. #60 Oklahoma St
3/15/2008Neut W 77-49 vs. #28 Oklahoma
3/16/2008Neut L 74-84 vs. #1 Kansas
3/21/2008Neut W 74-54 vs. #147 Austin Peay
3/23/2008Neut W 75-72 vs. #39 Miami Fla
3/28/2008Neut W 82-62 vs. #12 Stanford
3/30/2008Neut L 67-85 vs. #2 Memphis

FUTURE GAMES
Date Site Win ProbabilityMargin Opponent
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