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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.
TENNESSEE
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 30-5
Power Rating: 92.0
Ranking: 7

4-2v #1-25
7-2v #26-50
7-1v #51-100
10-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341

Home Rankings (15-0): 95.4 (2)
0-0v #1-25
4-0v #26-50
4-0v #51-100
5-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 8-091.1
Non-League Power Rankings: 7-088.8
Last Ten Rankings: 2-086.3

Away Rankings (9-2): 94.2 (6)
2-0v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 6-288.2
Non-League Power Rankings: 3-0101.0
Last Ten Rankings: 2-193.5

Neutral Rankings (6-3): 88.6 (24)
2-2v #1-25
2-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 1-182.3
Non-League Power Rankings: 5-288.6
Last Ten Rankings: 3-285.5

League Power Rankings (15-3): 90.0 (12)
0-0v #1-25
4-2v #26-50
6-1v #51-100
5-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 8-091.1
Away Rankings: 6-288.2
Neutral Rankings: 1-182.3
Last Ten Rankings: 4-285.5

Non-League Power Rankings (15-2): 94.7 (5)
4-2v #1-25
3-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
5-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 7-088.8
Away Rankings: 3-0101.0
Neutral Rankings: 5-288.6
Last Ten Rankings: 3-191.8

Wins Power Rankings: 95.9 (6)
4-2v #1-25
7-2v #26-50
7-1v #51-100
10-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 15-0102.1
Away Rankings: 9-299.1
Neutral Rankings: 6-391.6
Last Ten Rankings: 7-392.9

Predictive / Points Rankings: 87.3 (11)
4-2v #1-25
9-2v #26-50
5-1v #51-100
10-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 15-089.8
Away Rankings: 9-288.3
Neutral Rankings: 6-384.7
League Power Rankings: 15-386.5
Non-League Power Rankings: 15-288.4
Last Ten Rankings: 7-385.7

Last Ten Rankings (7-3): 89.7 (14)
2-1v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
1-1v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 2-086.3
Away Rankings: 2-193.5
Neutral Rankings: 3-285.5
League Power Rankings: 4-285.5
Non-League Power Rankings: 3-191.8

Home Advantage: 7.3 (76)


Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1 (34)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2 (27)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4 (19)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5 (11)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7 (6)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9 (4)

Upward Stability: 2.2 (317)

Downward Stability: 3.2 (95)

RPI
RPI: 0.6 (3)
5-3v #1-25
6-1v #26-50
7-1v #51-100
10-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341


RPI Home (15-0): 0.6 (1)
2-0v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
3-0v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-341


RPI Away (9-2): 0.6 (3)
3-0v #1-25
2-1v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
1-0v #201-341


RPI Neutral (6-3): 0.6 (13)
3-2v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
1-0v #201-341


RPI League (15-3): 0.6 (6)
2-1v #1-25
2-2v #26-50
4-0v #51-100
7-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341


RPI Non-League (15-2): 0.6 (1)
4-2v #1-25
3-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-341


RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.6 (1)



GAMES
Date Site Score Opponent
11/9/2007Home W 80-63 vs. #55 Temple
11/16/2007Home W 89-75 vs. #335 Prairie View
11/20/2007Home W 109-40 vs. #155 Middle Tenn St
11/23/2007Neut W 74-72 vs. #21 West Virginia
11/24/2007Neut L 78-97 vs. #5 Texas
11/27/2007Home W 93-59 vs. #285 NO Carolina A&T
11/30/2007Home W 98-70 vs. #190 Ul Lafayette
12/4/2007Away W 76-70 vs. #152 Chattanooga
12/15/2007Neut W 88-82 vs. #32 Western KY
12/19/2007Home W 86-73 vs. #172 NC Asheville
12/22/2007Away W 82-75 vs. #13 Xavier
12/29/2007Neut W 82-72 vs. #29 Gonzaga
1/9/2008Home W 85-83 vs. #47 Mississippi
1/12/2008Away W 80-56 vs. #114 South Carolina
1/17/2008Home W 80-60 vs. #36 Vanderbilt
1/19/2008Home W 74-69 vs. #30 Ohio St
1/22/2008Away L 66-72 vs. #58 Kentucky
1/26/2008Home W 85-69 vs. #88 Georgia
1/29/2008Away W 93-86 vs. #90 Alabama
2/2/2008Away W 76-71 vs. #35 Mississippi St
2/5/2008Home W 104-82 vs. #52 Florida
2/9/2008Away W 47-45 vs. #126 LSU
2/13/2008Home W 93-71 vs. #38 Arkansas
2/16/2008Away W 74-71 vs. #88 Georgia
2/20/2008Home W 89-70 vs. #143 Auburn
2/23/2008Away W 66-62 vs. #2 Memphis
2/26/2008Away L 69-72 vs. #36 Vanderbilt
3/2/2008Home W 63-60 vs. #58 Kentucky
3/5/2008Away W 89-86 vs. #52 Florida
3/9/2008Home W 89-56 vs. #114 South Carolina
3/14/2008Neut W 89-87 vs. #114 South Carolina
3/15/2008Neut L 91-92 vs. #38 Arkansas
3/21/2008Neut W 72-57 vs. #136 American
3/23/2008Neut W 76-71 vs. #14 Butler
3/27/2008Neut L 60-79 vs. #10 Louisville

FUTURE GAMES
Date Site Win ProbabilityMargin Opponent
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