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NCAA College Basketball Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 7959 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 3860-3933-166 and covered the spread 49.5% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-7.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-5 2 2-0-0 100.0%
-4.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-4 8 4-4-0 50.0%
-3.5 14 5-9-0 35.7%
-3 43 22-21-0 51.2%
-2.5 94 48-43-3 52.7%
-2 180 84-91-5 48.0%
-1.5 517 258-252-7 50.6%
-1 969 475-466-28 50.5%
-0.5 1340 653-662-25 49.7%
0 1869 897-937-35 48.9%
0.5 1342 640-670-32 48.9%
1 762 366-380-16 49.1%
1.5 391 182-201-8 47.5%
2 216 108-105-3 50.7%
2.5 116 65-49-2 57.0%
3 52 29-22-1 56.9%
3.5 19 10-9-0 52.6%
4 10 3-6-1 33.3%
4.5 4 3-1-0 75.0%
5 3 2-1-0 66.7%
5.5 2 2-0-0 100.0%
6 1 0-1-0 0.0%
7 2 1-1-0 50.0%
7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.