NCAA College Basketball Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Point Spread

Opening Favorite of 1-2.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 13 4-9-0 30.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 30 19-11-0 63.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 527 260-251-16 50.9%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 338 169-165-4 50.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 307 156-144-7 52.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 103 51-52-0 49.5%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 57 33-22-2 60.0%
Total 1375 692-654-29 51.4%

Opening Favorite of 3-6.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 17 9-8-0 52.9%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 76 40-35-1 53.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 909 444-448-17 49.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 644 321-307-16 51.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 796 400-377-19 51.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 60 30-26-4 53.6%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 17 6-11-0 35.3%
Total 2519 1250-1212-57 50.8%

Opening Favorite of 7-9.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 3 2-1-0 66.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 30 14-15-1 48.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 500 258-232-10 52.7%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 350 163-183-4 47.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 472 221-242-9 47.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 42 22-20-0 52.4%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 6 3-3-0 50.0%
Total 1403 683-696-24 49.5%

Opening Favorite of 10-13.5
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 14 5-9-0 35.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 35 15-18-2 45.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 385 182-196-7 48.1%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 281 127-150-4 45.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 385 185-188-12 49.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 48 26-22-0 54.2%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 9 5-4-0 55.6%
Total 1157 545-587-25 48.1%

Opening Favorite of 14+
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
3+ toward the Opening Favorite 16 7-9-0 43.8%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Favorite 73 34-38-1 47.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Favorite 369 173-188-8 47.9%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 244 113-124-7 47.7%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Opening Underdog 527 225-293-9 43.4%
2 or 2.5 toward the Opening Underdog 78 43-34-1 55.8%
3+ toward the Opening Underdog 5 4-1-0 80.0%
Total 1312 599-687-26 46.6%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the value of the opening spread, ranging from small favorites to large ones. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that opening spread, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.