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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds
March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled
Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.
MIAMI FLA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 22-11
Power Rating: 84.9
Ranking: 39

2-4v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
8-5v #51-100
4-2v #101-200
6-0v #201-341

Home Rankings (13-2): 86.7 (36)
2-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
5-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 6-283.7
Non-League Power Rankings: 7-082.1
Last Ten Rankings: 4-086.6

Away Rankings (4-6): 83.5 (53)
0-2v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
2-3v #51-100
0-1v #101-200
1-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 2-683.0
Non-League Power Rankings: 2-093.1
Last Ten Rankings: 0-282.3

Neutral Rankings (5-3): 84.8 (50)
0-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 1-181.3
Non-League Power Rankings: 4-287.3
Last Ten Rankings: 2-286.2

League Power Rankings (9-9): 83.5 (51)
2-3v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
6-5v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 6-283.7
Away Rankings: 2-683.0
Neutral Rankings: 1-181.3
Last Ten Rankings: 5-383.7

Non-League Power Rankings (13-2): 88.6 (22)
0-1v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
3-1v #101-200
6-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 7-082.1
Away Rankings: 2-093.1
Neutral Rankings: 4-287.3
Last Ten Rankings: 1-191.8

Wins Power Rankings: 86.4 (39)
2-4v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
7-5v #51-100
5-2v #101-200
6-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 13-289.8
Away Rankings: 4-684.7
Neutral Rankings: 5-385.8
Last Ten Rankings: 6-487.3

Predictive / Points Rankings: 83.0 (38)
2-4v #1-25
2-1v #26-50
7-3v #51-100
5-3v #101-200
6-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 13-282.9
Away Rankings: 4-682.4
Neutral Rankings: 5-383.6
League Power Rankings: 9-981.7
Non-League Power Rankings: 13-286.0
Last Ten Rankings: 6-483.8

Last Ten Rankings (6-4): 85.8 (38)
0-2v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 4-086.6
Away Rankings: 0-282.3
Neutral Rankings: 2-286.2
League Power Rankings: 5-383.7
Non-League Power Rankings: 1-191.8

Home Advantage: 6.2 (99)


Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0 (50)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2 (46)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4 (47)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5 (48)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6 (47)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8 (67)

Upward Stability: 3.0 (119)

Downward Stability: 3.4 (45)

RPI
RPI: 0.5 (35)
2-4v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
5-3v #51-100
8-4v #101-200
5-0v #201-341


RPI Home (13-2): 0.5 (34)
1-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
1-1v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-341


RPI Away (4-6): 0.5 (65)
0-2v #1-25
2-1v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
1-2v #101-200
1-0v #201-341


RPI Neutral (5-3): 0.6 (36)
1-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
2-2v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-341


RPI League (9-9): 0.5 (55)
2-3v #1-25
1-3v #26-50
3-0v #51-100
3-3v #101-200
0-0v #201-341


RPI Non-League (13-2): 0.6 (23)
0-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
4-0v #51-100
3-1v #101-200
5-0v #201-341


RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5 (38)



GAMES
Date Site Score Opponent
11/15/2007Neut W 85-61 vs. #141 Marist
11/16/2007Neut W 69-63 vs. #62 VA Commonwealth
11/18/2007Neut W 64-58 vs. #84 Providence
11/24/2007Home W 55-51 vs. #164 Morgan St
11/28/2007Home W 83-74 vs. #247 Alabama St
12/2/2007Home W 66-47 vs. #148 St Johns
12/8/2007Away W 67-53 vs. #261 Florida Intl
12/13/2007Away W 64-58 vs. #35 Mississippi St
12/17/2007Home W 89-53 vs. #262 Stetson
12/20/2007Home W 85-63 vs. #340 North Florida
12/23/2007Home W 95-64 vs. #285 NO Carolina A&T
12/29/2007Neut L 70-76 vs. #121 Winthrop
1/2/2008Home W 88-62 vs. #255 Pennsylvania
1/12/2008Home W 78-68 vs. #64 Georgia Tech
1/15/2008Away L 66-76 vs. #122 Boston College
1/19/2008Away L 77-79 vs. #98 North Carolina St
1/23/2008Home L 82-98 vs. #3 North Carolina
1/27/2008Home W 75-72 vs. #22 Clemson
1/29/2008Away L 68-70 vs. #70 Wake Forest
2/2/2008Away L 73-88 vs. #8 Duke
2/6/2008Home L 55-62 vs. #61 Florida St
2/9/2008Away W 74-71 vs. #53 Virginia Tech
2/17/2008Away W 64-63 vs. #64 Georgia Tech
2/20/2008Home W 96-95 vs. #8 Duke
2/23/2008Home W 78-63 vs. #71 Maryland
2/27/2008Away L 69-79 vs. #22 Clemson
3/1/2008Home W 95-93 vs. #96 Virginia
3/5/2008Home W 74-61 vs. #122 Boston College
3/8/2008Away L 72-75 vs. #61 Florida St
3/13/2008Neut W 63-50 vs. #98 North Carolina St
3/14/2008Neut L 49-63 vs. #53 Virginia Tech
3/21/2008Neut W 78-64 vs. #50 St Marys CA
3/23/2008Neut L 72-75 vs. #5 Texas

FUTURE GAMES
Date Site Win ProbabilityMargin Opponent
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