Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, December 1, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Dean Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 729 | MIST | +1.5 | 153.0 | +111 |
| 730 | UNC | -1.5 | -123 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan St | Power Rating Model | Michigan St 58% odds to win | |
| N Carolina | Decision Tree | N Carolina 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC -1.5 | Decision Tree | N Carolina 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 153.0 | Decision Tree | 58% odds to go under 153.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIST | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.065 | 1.013 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.7% | 48.5% | |
| Turnover % | 17.2% | 16.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 39.6% | 38.4% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.366 | 0.383 | |
| Points/Game | 72.9 | 75.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.6 | +3.0 | |
| SOS PR | 106.5 | 107.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIST | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.940 | 0.973 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 46.7% | 47.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 16.1% | 15.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.9% | 70.0% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.303 | 0.238 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 64.4 | 72.4 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 8.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 23.3% | 17.6% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIST | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 26-8 | 18-16 | |
| vs Division | 0-0 | 0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-5 | 5-12 | |
| Streak | W2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-5 | |
| Away | 11-6 | 4-11 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIST | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-0 | 11-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 5-12-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-11-0 | 6-11-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||