Game Information
| Date | Monday, December 21, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | University of Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743 | APST | +12.5 | 136.0 | +704 |
| 744 | DAY | -12.5 | -900 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton | Power Rating Model | Dayton 88% odds to win | |
| Dayton | Decision Tree | Dayton 93% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY -12.5 | Decision Tree | Dayton 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 136.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go over 136.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | APST | adv | DAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.084 | 1.013 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.6% | 50.4% | |
| Turnover % | 18.6% | 18.4% | |
| Off Rebound % | 34.3% | 34.5% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.411 | 0.378 | |
| Points/Game | 73.9 | 69.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.8 | +7.8 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 105.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | APST | adv | DAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.013 | 0.900 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.9% | 45.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.5% | 18.3% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.5% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.326 | 0.427 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 69.0 | 61.7 | |
| Block % | 5.0% | 6.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 23.0% | 25.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | APST | adv | DAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 22-12 | 21-12 | |
| vs Division | 9-1 | 0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-6 | 9-9 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 12-2 | 16-2 | |
| Away | 9-9 | 5-10 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | APST | adv | DAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-9-0 | 14-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-3-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 6-11-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 8-4-0 | 9-6-0 | |
| Away | 10-5-0 | 5-9-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||