NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

INDIANA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 25-8
Power Rating: 86.7
Ranking: 27

2-4v #1-25
3-2v #26-50
7-1v #51-100
6-1v #101-200
7-0v #201-341

Home Rankings (17-2): 89.0 (21) 2-1v #1-25 1-1v #26-50 4-0v #51-100 4-0v #101-200 6-0v #201-341 League Power Rankings: 8-188.9 Non-League Power Rankings: 9-184.9 Last Ten Rankings: 4-190.2

Away Rankings (7-3): 88.3 (17)
0-2v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
3-0v #51-100
2-1v #101-200
1-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 6-385.1
Non-League Power Rankings: 1-098.9
Last Ten Rankings: 1-277.6

Neutral Rankings (1-3): 78.3 (128) 0-1v #1-25 1-1v #26-50 0-1v #51-100 0-0v #101-200 0-0v #201-341 League Power Rankings: 0-180.1 Non-League Power Rankings: 1-281.3 Last Ten Rankings: 0-277.2

League Power Rankings (14-5): 87.6 (21)
2-3v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
4-1v #51-100
4-1v #101-200
2-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 8-188.9
Away Rankings: 6-385.1
Neutral Rankings: 0-180.1
Last Ten Rankings: 5-484.8

Non-League Power Rankings (11-3): 84.9 (41) 0-1v #1-25 1-2v #26-50 3-0v #51-100 2-0v #101-200 5-0v #201-341 Home Rankings: 9-184.9 Away Rankings: 1-098.9 Neutral Rankings: 1-281.3 Last Ten Rankings: 0-171.0

Wins Power Rankings: 88.5 (27)
2-4v #1-25
3-2v #26-50
7-1v #51-100
6-1v #101-200
7-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 17-290.9
Away Rankings: 7-391.4
Neutral Rankings: 1-377.8
Last Ten Rankings: 5-584.1

Predictive / Points Rankings: 84.4 (27) 2-4v #1-25 2-2v #26-50 8-1v #51-100 8-1v #101-200 5-0v #201-341 Home Rankings: 17-286.7 Away Rankings: 7-384.4 Neutral Rankings: 1-379.1 League Power Rankings: 14-584.9 Non-League Power Rankings: 11-383.5 Last Ten Rankings: 5-582.2

Last Ten Rankings (5-5): 83.2 (63)
2-2v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
1-1v #51-100
0-1v #101-200
1-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 4-190.2
Away Rankings: 1-277.6
Neutral Rankings: 0-277.2
League Power Rankings: 5-484.8
Non-League Power Rankings: 0-171.0

Home Advantage: 7.2 (78)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0 (69)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2 (65)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3 (64)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5 (64)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6 (64)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8 (73)

Upward Stability: 2.6 (267)

Downward Stability: 3.3 (60)

RPI
RPI: 0.5 (26)
1-5v #1-25
4-1v #26-50
3-0v #51-100
10-2v #101-200
7-0v #201-341

RPI Home (17-2): 0.5 (30) 1-1v #1-25 2-1v #26-50 3-0v #51-100 5-0v #101-200 6-0v #201-341

RPI Away (7-3): 0.6 (20)
0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
5-1v #101-200
0-0v #201-341

RPI Neutral (1-3): 0.5 (107) 0-1v #1-25 0-1v #26-50 1-0v #51-100 0-1v #101-200 0-0v #201-341

RPI League (14-5): 0.6 (21)
1-2v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
8-2v #101-200
2-0v #201-341

RPI Non-League (11-3): 0.5 (45) 0-1v #1-25 0-2v #26-50 2-0v #51-100 3-0v #101-200 6-0v #201-341

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5 (62)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/12/2007	Home	W 99-79	vs. #152 Chattanooga
11/18/2007	Home	W 100-49	vs. #325 Longwood
11/20/2007	Home	W 95-71	vs. #145 NC Wilmington
11/23/2007	Neut	W 70-57	vs. #44 Illinois St
11/24/2007	Neut	L 65-80	vs. #13 Xavier
11/27/2007	Home	W 83-79	vs. #64 Georgia Tech
12/1/2007	Away	W 64-51	vs. #63 Southern Ill
12/3/2007	Home	W 84-72	vs. #244 Tennessee St
12/8/2007	Home	W 70-51	vs. #58 Kentucky
12/15/2007	Home	W 100-52	vs. #253 Westrn Carolina
12/22/2007	Home	W 73-46	vs. #268 Coppin St
12/29/2007	Home	W 97-59	vs. #239 Chicago St
1/2/2008	Away	W 79-76	vs. #151 Iowa
1/8/2008	Away	W 78-64	vs. #157 Michigan
1/13/2008	Home	W 62-58	vs. #80 Illinois
1/17/2008	Away	W 65-60	vs. #77 Minnesota
1/20/2008	Home	W 81-65	vs. #116 Penn St
1/23/2008	Home	W 65-43	vs. #151 Iowa
1/26/2008	Home	L 63-68	vs. #26 Connecticut
1/31/2008	Away	L 49-62	vs. #6 Wisconsin
2/3/2008	Home	W 75-63	vs. #202 Northwestern
2/7/2008	Away	W 83-79	vs. #80 Illinois
2/10/2008	Away	W 59-53	vs. #30 Ohio St
2/13/2008	Home	L 66-68	vs. #6 Wisconsin
2/16/2008	Home	W 80-61	vs. #16 Michigan St
2/19/2008	Home	W 77-68	vs. #24 Purdue
2/23/2008	Away	W 85-82	vs. #202 Northwestern
2/26/2008	Home	W 72-69	vs. #30 Ohio St
3/2/2008	Away	L 74-103	vs. #16 Michigan St
3/5/2008	Home	W 69-55	vs. #77 Minnesota
3/9/2008	Away	L 64-68	vs. #116 Penn St
3/14/2008	Neut	L 58-59	vs. #77 Minnesota
3/21/2008	Neut	L 72-86	vs. #38 Arkansas

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent