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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds
March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled
Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.
GEORGE MASON
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 23-11
Power Rating: 80.0
Ranking: 92

0-1v #1-25
1-2v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
10-5v #101-200
9-2v #201-341

Home Rankings (13-1): 84.0 (60)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
3-0v #51-100
6-1v #101-200
4-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 8-182.0
Non-League Power Rankings: 5-080.6
Last Ten Rankings: 2-175.1

Away Rankings (5-7): 76.3 (142)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-4v #101-200
5-1v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 4-577.5
Non-League Power Rankings: 1-277.4
Last Ten Rankings: 1-275.8

Neutral Rankings (5-3): 82.4 (81)
0-1v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
0-1v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 3-085.8
Non-League Power Rankings: 2-378.4
Last Ten Rankings: 3-182.4

League Power Rankings (15-6): 80.0 (94)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
7-5v #101-200
7-1v #201-341
Home Rankings: 8-182.0
Away Rankings: 4-577.5
Neutral Rankings: 3-085.8
Last Ten Rankings: 6-279.1

Non-League Power Rankings (8-5): 80.2 (93)
0-1v #1-25
1-2v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
2-1v #201-341
Home Rankings: 5-080.6
Away Rankings: 1-277.4
Neutral Rankings: 2-378.4
Last Ten Rankings: 0-270.8

Wins Power Rankings: 80.6 (95)
0-1v #1-25
2-2v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
9-5v #101-200
10-2v #201-341
Home Rankings: 13-185.6
Away Rankings: 5-776.2
Neutral Rankings: 5-384.0
Last Ten Rankings: 6-479.2

Predictive / Points Rankings: 79.3 (90)
0-1v #1-25
1-2v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
9-5v #101-200
10-2v #201-341
Home Rankings: 13-181.9
Away Rankings: 5-776.9
Neutral Rankings: 5-380.3
League Power Rankings: 15-679.8
Non-League Power Rankings: 8-578.2
Last Ten Rankings: 6-477.6

Last Ten Rankings (6-4): 78.5 (116)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
5-3v #101-200
1-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 2-175.1
Away Rankings: 1-275.8
Neutral Rankings: 3-182.4
League Power Rankings: 6-279.1
Non-League Power Rankings: 0-270.8

Home Advantage: 8.8 (53)


Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0 (220)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1 (192)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2 (172)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3 (167)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5 (152)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8 (118)

Upward Stability: 3.0 (127)

Downward Stability: 3.8 (10)

RPI
RPI: 0.5 (59)
0-1v #1-25
2-2v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
10-5v #101-200
9-2v #201-341


RPI Home (13-1): 0.6 (21)
0-0v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
8-1v #101-200
3-0v #201-341


RPI Away (5-7): 0.5 (157)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-5v #101-200
5-1v #201-341


RPI Neutral (5-3): 0.5 (90)
0-0v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
1-1v #51-100
3-1v #101-200
0-0v #201-341


RPI League (15-6): 0.5 (73)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
2-2v #51-100
6-3v #101-200
7-1v #201-341


RPI Non-League (8-5): 0.5 (55)
1-1v #1-25
1-2v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
2-1v #201-341


RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5 (122)



GAMES
Date Site Score Opponent
11/9/2007Home W 60-53 vs. #200 Vermont
11/13/2007Home W 56-47 vs. #82 Cleveland St
11/17/2007Home W 67-56 vs. #51 Dayton
11/22/2007Neut W 87-77 vs. #31 Kansas St
11/23/2007Neut L 76-84 vs. #41 Villanova
11/25/2007Neut W 69-68 vs. #114 South Carolina
11/29/2007Home W 85-38 vs. #227 Drexel
12/2/2007Neut L 65-68 vs. #222 East Carolina
12/5/2007Home W 57-54 vs. #193 Hampton
12/8/2007Away L 55-73 vs. #33 Kent
12/21/2007Away W 86-68 vs. #261 Florida Intl
12/30/2007Home W 72-64 vs. #249 Liberty
1/2/2008Away L 64-66 vs. #254 Georgia St
1/5/2008Home W 72-63 vs. #212 Towson
1/9/2008Away L 68-73 vs. #186 Delaware
1/12/2008Home W 80-52 vs. #170 Northeastern
1/17/2008Away W 85-78 vs. #205 Hofstra
1/19/2008Away W 96-75 vs. #209 James Madison
1/23/2008Home W 86-53 vs. #134 Old Dominion
1/26/2008Away L 58-61 vs. #145 NC Wilmington
1/29/2008Home W 63-51 vs. #62 VA Commonwealth
2/2/2008Home W 72-46 vs. #209 James Madison
2/7/2008Away W 75-65 vs. #227 Drexel
2/9/2008Away L 64-72 vs. #134 Old Dominion
2/13/2008Away W 85-73 vs. #212 Towson
2/16/2008Home L 73-75 vs. #145 NC Wilmington
2/20/2008Home W 70-58 vs. #186 Delaware
2/23/2008Away L 57-69 vs. #95 Ohio
2/27/2008Home W 60-54 vs. #178 William & Mary
3/1/2008Away L 59-70 vs. #170 Northeastern
3/8/2008Neut W 63-52 vs. #170 Northeastern
3/9/2008Neut W 53-41 vs. #145 NC Wilmington
3/10/2008Neut W 68-59 vs. #178 William & Mary
3/20/2008Neut L 50-68 vs. #20 Notre Dame

FUTURE GAMES
Date Site Win ProbabilityMargin Opponent
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