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Summit Bracket 2015 & Summit Tournament Predictions

Summit League Championship Information

2015 Summit tournament site: Sioux Falls Arena, Sioux Falls, SD
2015 Summit tournament dates: March 7th-10th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Summit League Championship, we projected S Dakota St as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Summit bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Oral Roberts.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Summit tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Summit tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Summit tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Summit bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Summit CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
N Dakota St 12 4 12.0 4.0 23.0 9.0 49.8% 100.0%
S Dakota St 12 4 12.0 4.0 23.0 10.0 50.2% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 10 6 10.0 6.0 18.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 9 7 9.0 7.0 17.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
IPFW 9 7 9.0 7.0 16.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 6 10 6.0 10.0 10.0 21.0 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 6 10 6.0 10.0 12.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Neb Omaha 5 11 5.0 11.0 12.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
W Illinois 3 13 3.0 13.0 8.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Summit League Championship depend only partly on their Summit bracket seed. Winning the Summit League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Summit bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Summit League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Summit League Championship championship than a team with a worse Summit tournament seed.

In addition, because Summit tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Summit conference games, Summit tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Summit bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Summit League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Summit bracket.