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Summit Bracket 2014 & Summit Tournament Predictions

Summit League Championship Information

2014 Summit tournament site: Sioux Falls Arena, Sioux Falls, SD
2014 Summit tournament dates: March 8th-11th, 2014

In our most recent calculations, we project N Dakota St as the most likely winner of the 2014 Summit League Championship. The second most likely team to top the Summit bracket is IPFW.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2014 Summit tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2014 Summit tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Summit tournament championship for every team in the 2014 Summit bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Summit CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
N Dakota St 12 2 0.0 12.0 2.0 25.0 6.0 100.0% 100.0%
S Dakota St 10 4 0.0 10.0 4.0 19.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%
IPFW 10 4 0.0 10.0 4.0 24.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 8 6 0.0 8.0 6.0 16.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 6 8 0.0 6.0 8.0 12.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Neb Omaha 5 9 0.0 5.0 9.0 16.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
W Illinois 4 10 0.0 4.0 10.0 10.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 1 13 0.0 1.0 13.0 6.0 26.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2014 Summit projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2014 Summit Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Summit tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2014 Summit League Championship depend only partly on their Summit bracket seed. Winning the Summit League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2014 Summit bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Summit League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Summit League Championship championship than a team with a worse Summit tournament seed.

In addition, because Summit tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Summit conference games, Summit tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Summit bracket can have better odds to win the 2014 Summit League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Summit bracket.