SWAC Bracket 2015 & SWAC Tournament Predictions

SWAC Championship Information

2015 SWAC tournament site: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
2015 SWAC tournament dates: March 11th-14th, 2015

In our most recent calculations, we project TX Southern as the most likely winner of the 2015 SWAC Championship. The second most likely team to top the SWAC bracket is Prairie View.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 SWAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 SWAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the SWAC tournament championship for every team in the 2015 SWAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

SWAC CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
TX Southern 14 2 15.7 2.3 18.7 12.3 99.9% 52.0%
Alabama St 12 4 13.4 4.6 17.4 9.6 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 12 4 12.7 5.3 15.7 16.3 0.1% 0.0%
Prairie View 11 5 12.5 5.5 14.5 16.5 0.0% 20.4%
Jackson St 8 8 9.4 8.6 11.4 19.6 0.0% 16.2%
Ark Pine Bl 8 9 8.6 9.4 11.6 20.4 0.0% 5.8%
Alab A&M 7 9 8.0 10.0 9.0 19.0 0.0% 3.9%
Miss Val St 5 12 5.4 12.6 6.4 24.6 0.0% 0.4%
Alcorn State 4 12 4.2 13.8 5.2 24.8 0.0% 1.2%
Grambling St 0 16 0.3 17.7 2.3 25.7 0.0% 0.0%

The 2015 SWAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2015 SWAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the SWAC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 SWAC Championship depend only partly on their SWAC bracket seed. Winning the SWAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 SWAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better SWAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the SWAC Championship championship than a team with a worse SWAC tournament seed.

In addition, because SWAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in SWAC conference games, SWAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the SWAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 SWAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the SWAC bracket.