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Southern Bracket 2015 & Southern Tournament Predictions

Southern Conference Championship Information

2015 Southern tournament site: Asheville Civic Center, Asheville, NC
2015 Southern tournament dates: March 6th-9th, 2015

In our most recent calculations, we project Wofford as the most likely winner of the 2015 Southern Conference Championship. The second most likely team to top the Southern bracket is E Tenn St.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Southern tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Southern tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Southern tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Southern bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Southern CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Wofford 0 0 0.0 14.6 3.4 23.7 7.3 61.8% 44.6%
E Tenn St 1 1 0.0 11.7 6.3 18.8 10.2 12.2% 19.8%
VA Military 1 1 0.0 11.2 6.8 15.7 13.3 11.0% 13.1%
Chattanooga 1 0 0.0 11.0 7.0 17.5 13.5 7.7% 9.3%
Mercer 1 0 0.0 10.7 7.3 16.0 15.0 6.1% 8.0%
W Carolina 0 1 0.0 8.2 9.8 12.2 18.8 0.9% 2.9%
NC-Grnsboro 1 0 0.0 6.9 11.1 10.3 20.7 0.3% 0.7%
Furman 1 0 0.0 6.1 11.9 8.3 20.7 0.1% 0.6%
Citadel 0 1 0.0 5.9 12.1 10.7 18.3 0.0% 0.8%
Samford 0 2 0.0 3.8 14.2 9.0 22.0 0.0% 0.1%

The 2015 Southern projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2015 Southern Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Southern tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Southern Conference Championship depend only partly on their Southern bracket seed. Winning the Southern Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Southern bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Southern Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Southern Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Southern tournament seed.

In addition, because Southern tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Southern conference games, Southern tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Southern bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Southern Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Southern bracket.